Economic growth must remain resilient and we cannot have a growth scare
Economic growth must remain resilient and we cannot have a growth scare: Tom Essaye Quoted in MarketWatch
Stock market’s long-awaited Great Rotation needs to overcome this nagging worry
For the rotation to be sustained beyond a few weeks, “economic growth must remain resilient and we cannot have a growth scare,” said Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report Research, in a Friday note. “If we do get a growth scare, then cyclical sectors like energy, industrials, materials and financials will likely not do well.”
Investors can act accordingly.
Those that think growth will slow should overweight super-cap tech TDIV and defensive sectors like utilities XLU, healthcare XLV and consumer staples XLP, Essaye wrote. Those that think growth will be resilient should overweight value stocks VTV and the equal-weight S&P 500 RSP.
For his part, Essaye said he’s more concerned about growth than the
consensus, so he won’t be chasing value and cyclical stocks, instead sticking to his preference for defensive sectors and longer term Treasurys that will benefit from a sustained fall in yields alongside moderating growth.
Also, click here to view the full MarketWatch article published on July 13th, 2024. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.
If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.
To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.
Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.
