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Tom Essaye Tells Barron’s What’s Really Supporting The Rally

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The two underpinnings of the rally are really earnings and economic growth, Tom Essaye tells Barron’s.

S&P 500, Nasdaq Climb Back to Record Highs. Earnings Are in Focus.

“The two underpinnings of the rally are really earnings and economic growth, and the news continues to be good,” Sevens Report Research’s Tom Essaye tells Barron’s.

Essaye argues part of the risk for the market is that both strong earnings and economic growth are tied to the artificial intelligence buildout.

“That’s essentially acting like an economic stimulus program that’s boosting growth at the same time,” he says. “That’s fine—unless it stops. And then all of a sudden you’ve got a really substantial problem on your hands.”

Also, click here to view the full article published in Barron’s on May 5th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

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Sevens Report Tom Essaye Discusses the Michigan Consumer Sentiment

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Review & Preview: Well Done Wednesday

Sevens Report Tom Essaye notes, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment hit an all-time low this month—lower than it was during crises like 9/11, the Great Recession, and the pandemic. That could reflect in part extreme inflation fatigue after years of higher prices, but that depressed reading “doesn’t seem to mesh with the financial reality of low-4% unemployment and generally healthy economic metrics.”

Also, click here to view the full article published in Barron’s on April 22nd, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Sevens Report says investors dismiss headlines unless oil risk spikes

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Tom Essaye says markets still expect a ceasefire despite conflicting signals.

The Market Is Ignoring Negative Iran Headlines. 3 Things That Could Change That.

Markets largely ignored conflicting U.S.-Iran headlines, a reaction Sevens Report Research attributes to fragmented messaging out of Iran.

Tom Essaye notes, “That explains the seemingly opposite headlines emanating from the country as one group, who the White House seems to be communicating with most directly, makes assurances and negotiates a ceasefire while another group takes a hardline approach.”

“Whether this is by fault or by design is unclear, but it is at least partially responsible for the whiplash that we have seen in the headlines coming from Iran.”

Despite the volatility in headlines, Essaye says markets remain anchored to a broader de-escalation outlook.

“The daily headlines aren’t meaningless, but until the market believes one of them breaks the trend towards a sustainable ceasefire, the market will continue to look past it.”

He warns that a material escalation—such as attacks on Gulf infrastructure, U.S. military assets, or prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz—would likely trigger a sharp selloff.

“Bottom line, the market fear has always been that the conflict would expand to substantially disrupt oil flows and send the price of oil above $150 towards $200 a barrel,” Essaye writes. “However, that remains unlikely, and as long as it stays unlikely, the market will give the ceasefire process the benefit of the doubt.”

Also, click here to view the full article published in Barron’s on April 21st, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Tom Essaye Warns Rally Lacks Confirmation From Key Markets

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Tom Essaye says stocks may be moving too fast without support from bonds and oil.

U.S. stocks may be moving past the Iran conflict — but these markets aren’t sending the ‘all clear’ just yet

That could be a sign that investors should think twice before chasing the rally in stocks, said Tom Essaye, publisher of Sevens Report Research, in commentary shared with MarketWatch.

“While we are happy stocks have rebounded, this furious 10-day rally has not been confirmed by other asset classes, most notably Treasury yields and oil prices, and we do think that nonconfirmation should give some stock investors cause for pause,” Essaye said.

“If the oil markets were as confident about a lasting detente between the U.S. and Iran, oil prices would be solidly lower,” Essaye said in written commentary. He also pointed out that the 2-year Treasury yield is still well above its prewar level, signaling that bond traders aren’t as confident that the Fed will cut interest rates later in the year.

“Now, to be clear, this nonconfirmation does not automatically mean that stocks are ‘wrong’ and oil/Treasurys are ‘right.’ Treasury yields could fall sharply in the coming days to confirm the move in stocks and oil could plunge on any announcement of a more permanent ceasefire,” Essaye added.

“However, it does show us that not all traders and strategists are viewing the impacts of the war as being so ‘transitory’ as the move in stocks implies.”

Also, click here to view the full article published in MarketWatch on April 15th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Tom Essaye discusses market complacency with Yahoo Finance

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Tom Essaye discusses market complacency with Yahoo Finance

Is Wall Street too complacent on recession risk?

Yahoo Finance Senior Reporter Ines Ferre and Sevens Research Report founder Tom Essaye chat with Yahoo Finance Executive Editor Brian Sozzi about the survey results.

I think that yes, the market is a bit too complacent on recession risks. Not because I think a recession is imminent. It’s just because the market’s so complacent towards it, right? Now, I get why. The labor market, which is really the key, is still very strong and I think if you’re going to get a contraction in growth, you have to see the labor market deteriorate. But there are headwinds on this economy and there have been headwinds for a long time.

It doesn’t mean that we’re going to suddenly collapse, but we could see growth continue to grow. You know, we’re back at basically the all-time highs and we’re in the middle of a war, private credit concerns, AI anxiety, and growth is slowing a bit. So I just think everybody should sort of think about that from a valuation standpoint. We’re priced for, you know, close to perfection right now.

Also, click here to view the full video published on Yahoo Finance on April 14th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

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Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Need To See Strong Demand In The 10-Yr Auction Says Tom Essaye

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Need to see strong demand in the 10-Yr auction says Tom Essaye

Treasuries Are Soaring in Relief Rally. A Key Auction Is Ahead.

The Treasury Department will auction $29 billion worth of 10-year notes today. More demand for the note would indicate investors are less worried about the inflation pass-through from the war.

“It will be important to see strong demand in the 10-Yr auction to assure investors’ stagflation worries have eased amid the ceasefire,” wrote Tom Essaye, founder of The Sevens Report.

Also, click here to view the full article published in Barron’s on April 8th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Sevens Report Research Founder Tom Essaye Reacts To JPMorgan’s Forecast

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Tom Essaye reacts to JPMorgan’s latest note with Yahoo Finance

JPMorgan warns Tesla stock could sink 60% in new note. Here’s why.

Yahoo Finance Senior Reporter Ines Ferré breaks down the note from the JPMorgan team, while Sevens Report Research founder Tom Essaye reacts to this forecast.

Also, click here to view the full video published on Yahoo Finance on April 6th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Sevens Report: IGV Weakness Raises Tech Market Concerns

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Tom Essaye warns lack of rebound in software ETF is a caution signal

IGV: If this Software ETF Can’t Rally, be Wary of Trading Tech Stocks

Fears that AI could have broader economic consequences weighed on software stocks in Q1, and that pressure remains evident in the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV). The fund has not staged a meaningful rebound and continues to trade only modestly above its 2026 low, observes Tom Essaye, president of the Sevens Report Research.

Geopolitical tensions, including the Iran conflict, recently drove defensive flows into mega-cap tech. While that rotation supported broader indices, IGV did not participate and remains below recent highs.

Fundamentals have not materially deteriorated. AI concerns have not intensified, and recent software earnings were generally stable. However, the absence of upside momentum is notable.

A break below the February low would be a negative technical signal for tech and could weigh on the broader market. Even with potential geopolitical easing, AI uncertainty and private credit risks remain unresolved headwinds.

Also, click here to view the full article on Moneyshow.com published on March 27th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Tom Essaye joins Opening Bid host Brian Sozzi to discuss the latest data.

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Tom Essaye joins Opening Bid host Brian Sozzi to discuss the latest data.

Jobs data disappointment fueled by AI displacement & more

Sevens Report founder Tom Essaye, Yahoo Finance Senior Reporter Brooke DiPalma, and Yahoo Finance Senior Reporter Ines Ferré join Opening Bid host Brian Sozzi to connect the dots on the latest data.

Everybody’s sort of making the assumption that the economy is fine, and I get it. Most of the data is showing pretty solid growth. But the reality is that we are still in a labor market that’s a bit in flux. Now, I don’t think the negative 92,000 number is necessarily exactly correct. I think that there was a strike that added 30, I think 1,000, and then the weather did have some sort of impact. But the reality is we are in a no hire, no fire labor market. and that’s fine as long as it’s stable. But if all of a sudden it can quickly go to a firing and layoff labor market, then we have an economic problem and that is exactly what we do not need given all the other headaches we have.

Also, click here to view the full video published on Yahoo Finance on March 6th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Sevens Report: AI Optimism Is Giving Way to Existential Fears

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Tom Essaye says investors now worry AI could undermine entire business models.

Big Moves Have Rocked Stocks. There Might Be More to Come.

Yet “now investors fear it’ll go too far,” as Sevens Report President Tom Essaye writes. “Put simply, the concern now is that AI will boost productivity so much that it won’t just lead to reduced head count, it will lead to the elimination of the entire company and business!”

“AI spending is damaging the financial footing of the biggest tech companies in the markets and with no end to the spending in sight, this is making investors nervous that free cash flow from these companies will be depressed for years, all on the massive bet that AI is widely and aggressively adopted by the population,” writes Essaye. And don’t forget the rapidly growing Chinese competition.

Also, click here to view the full article published in Barron’s on February 25th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.