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Tom Essaye Quoted In The Money Show

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SPX: The Underappreciated Force Behind Market Resilience

A key (and largely underappreciated) factor behind recent stock market resilience, with the S&P 500 Inex (^SPX) reversing from early losses to record highs late last week, was a meaningful shift in Federal Reserve sentiment, writes Tom Essaye, president of the Sevens Report.

As the CME’s FedWatch tool shows, rate hike odds between now and the end of 2026 have reversed sharply to two-week lows – fading below 50% after being as high as 70% the week before.

That is noteworthy in the context of last week’s Goldilocks PCE data and lower-revised Q1 GDP growth. The data reduced the threats of runaway inflation and a run-hot economy.

Those were two simmering risks behind May’s Treasury yield breakout, including the 30-Year Treasury Bond yield hitting its highest level since 2007. With the 30-year now 20 bps below its mid-May peak, accelerating inflation and run-hot economy risks are being priced out. Plus, Fed policy expectations have shifted from a market headwind to a market-neutral/market-positive influence on risk assets.

In the sessions ahead, it will be important to see rate hike odds and Treasury yields continue to fade, as those fixed income dynamics are acting as a meaningful new tailwind for stocks.

Also, click here to view the full article on Moneyshow.com published on June 1st, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Strong Earnings Should Remain A Tailwind For The Market Says Tom Essaye

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Stocks Wobble as S&P 500, Nasdaq Pull Back From Records

“Barring any noteworthy disappointments, particularly from the tech companies reporting, a strong earnings season should remain a tailwind for market into the end of the month,” writes Sevens Report Research’s Tom Essaye.

Also, click here to view the full article published in Barron’s on May 27th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

We’re Not Seeing The Type of P/E Surge You’d Expect Says Sevens Report Analysts

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Notably, this is just what we saw with semiconductors starting three years ago, Sevens Report Analysts.

The ‘Insatiable’ Logic Behind Micron’s ‘Extreme’ Gains

“We’re not seeing the type of P/E surge you’d expect given the rallies, because earnings are rising faster than the share prices (notably, this is just what we saw with semiconductors starting three years ago),” wrote analysts at Sevens Report in a research note.

“While the gains have been extreme in the near term, the reality is they are being fueled by insatiable demand that likely won’t end unless the hyperscalers abandon the AI data center buildout (and that’s not likely to happen in the next 12-18 months),” wrote the Sevens Report analysts.

Also, click here to view the full article published in Barron’s on May 27th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Is This An “Earnings vs. Everything Else” Market?

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Is This An “Earnings vs. Everything Else” Market?
  • Weekly Market Preview: A Sneakily Important Week for Earnings, Economic Growth and Iran
  • Weekly Economic Cheat Sheet: Does May Economic Activity Stay Resilient?

Futures are extending Friday’s declines and are moderately lower as there was no progress on a U.S./Iran ceasefire over the weekend.

The UAE and Saudi Arabia reported limited drone attacks on energy infrastructure and while markets still expect a ceasefire, the chances of a resumption of fighting are rising.

Economically, Chinese data was soft, as Industrial Production (4.1% vs. (E) 6.0%), Fixed Asset Investment (-1.6% vs. (E) 1.7%) and Retail Sales (0.2% vs. (E) 2.0%) all badly missed estimates.

Today focus will remain on geopolitics as President Trump is meeting with his national security team and while not the majority expectation, the chances of a resumption of direct U.S. attacks on Iran are rising (and if that happens, markets will drop). Away from geopolitics, the only notable economic report is the Housing Market Index (E: 34) which shouldn’t move markets.

 

Tom Essaye Quoted In Barron’s

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Markets will continue to view the situation as slowly trending towards a ceasefire, Tom Essaye tells Barron’s.

Stocks Inch Lower. Inflation and Retail Sales Data Are on Tap.

“As long as the U.S. does not initiate widespread attacks on Iran again, markets will continue to view the situation as slowly trending towards a ceasefire,” Sevens Report Research’s Tom Essaye writes.

Also, click here to view the full article published in Barron’s on May 11th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Gold Is Trying To Break Out Of This Trading Pattern Said Tyler Richey

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Gold is trying to break out of the weak, sideways trading pattern, said Tyler Richey

Gold has climbed back above a key trend line. Are more gains on the way?

Futures contracts tied to gold on Friday moved above their 21-day moving average, a short-term trend line traders use to judge whether momentum is improving, according to Tyler Richey, technical analyst and co-editor at Sevens Report. Gold futures also tested their 50-day moving average for a second straight session, with that trend often seen as a more important gauge of the market’s medium-term direction, Richey noted in written commentary shared with MarketWatch.

From a technical perspective, gold is trying to break out of the weak, sideways trading pattern that has been in place since early April, Sevens Report’s Richey said. The metal’s chart patterns aren’t yet sending any clearly bullish signals, and the near-term trend still leans weaker, he noted.

Gold would need to break more convincingly above the $4,800- to $4,900-an-ounce range to show that the bulls are really back in control, Richey added – while, on the downside, a close below $4,400 would be a warning sign.

Also, click here to view the full article featured on Morningstar published on May 8th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Geopolitics Will Continue To Influence Markets | Tom Essaye

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Geopolitics will continue to influence markets, Tom Essaye tells Barron’s.

Dow Gives Back Gains After Topping 50,000

“Today geopolitics will continue to influence markets although at this point an agreed to ceasefire is mostly priced in, so an official announcement shouldn’t spark a material rally,” writes Sevens Report Research’s Tom Essaye.

Also, click here to view the full article published in Barron’s on May 7th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Memory In The Technology Space Is Now Skyrocketing Says Tom Essaye

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Memory In The Technology Space Is Now Skyrocketing Says Tom Essaye

What average investors should know about Fed nominee Kevin Warsh

“Memory that everyone needs in the technology space is now skyrocketing in price. How long can companies negotiate this? They’ve been doing an amazing job. The answer is not forever, so we can’t get complacent,” Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report Research, told Yahoo Finance.

Also, click here to view the full video published on Yahoo Finance on May 3rd, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Tom Essaye | Any Ceasefire Agreement Will Be A Market Positive

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Any ceasefire agreement will be a market positive

Stock Bulls Power Longest Weekly Rally Since 2024: Markets Wrap

“On US-Iran, put simply, any ceasefire agreement will be a market positive while any resumption of attacks would be a substantial negative,” said Tom Essaye at The Sevens Report.

Also, click here to view the full article published in Bloomberg on April 30th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Sevens Report Tom Essaye Discusses the Michigan Consumer Sentiment

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Review & Preview: Well Done Wednesday

Sevens Report Tom Essaye notes, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment hit an all-time low this month—lower than it was during crises like 9/11, the Great Recession, and the pandemic. That could reflect in part extreme inflation fatigue after years of higher prices, but that depressed reading “doesn’t seem to mesh with the financial reality of low-4% unemployment and generally healthy economic metrics.”

Also, click here to view the full article published in Barron’s on April 22nd, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.