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Instead We Got More Uncertainty – Tom Essaye Quoted on AOL.com

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Stocks are in recovery mode after the Fed’s first rate hike in years rattled markets

“Markets were hoping for clarity on rate hikes from the Fed on Wednesday, but instead we got more uncertainty — and that is the underlying reason why stocks (and bonds) dropped after Fed Chair Warsh’s press conference,” said Tom Essaye, the founder of Sevens Report Research, in a client note on Thursday.

Also, click here to view the full Business Insider article published on AOL.com on September 17th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

What Breaks the Market Stalemate? (Bullish/Bearish)

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • What Breaks the Market Stalemate? (Bullish/Bearish)
  • Weekly Market Preview: Can We Break the High Oil/High Yields/Lower Stocks Cycle?
  • Weekly Economic Cheat Sheet: Sept. Flash PMIs are the Highlight

Futures are moderately higher on lower oil and lower yields as investors are optimistic this week’s U.N. General Assembly will yield some progress on a U.S./Iran ceasefire.

Geopolitical news over the weekend was actually negative as the Houthis continued to attack Saudi Arabia while the U.S. considered air strikes on the Houthis (which would have further escalated regional tensions).  But, the U.S. optimism is offsetting those negative headlines.

There were no notable economic reports overnight.

Today there is one economic report, Chicago Fed National Activity Index (E: -0.08), but barring a major surprise it shouldn’t move markets.  Instead, focus will remain on geopolitical headlines and any that confirm this optimism about the UN General Assembly yielding progress on a U.S./Iran ceasefire will push oil and yields lower and stocks higher.

 

What “Frontier” AI Slowing Means for the Market

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • What “Frontier” AI Slowing Means for the Market
  • Fed Day

Futures are modestly higher on a bounce ahead of this afternoon’s Fed decision, following a quiet night of news.

Geopolitically there were no new negative headlines overnight and that lack of more bad news is prompting a mild bounce in oil (Brent crude down 1%).

Economic data was solid overnight as UK CPI met expectations (core CPI 2.6% y/y) while Euro Zone Industrial Production beat estimates (-0.1% vs. (E) -0.5% m/m).

Focus today will be on the Fed and the best case for markets is a rate hike with a “one or two hikes and done” message.  Outside of the Fed, geopolitics stay important and any positive headlines (again, even in tone) will likely cause a drop in oil/rates and help lift stocks.  Finally, we also get August Retail Sales (E: 0.7%) and markets will want to see consumer spending holding up despite growing price headlines.

 

How Are They Going To Monetize AI | Tom Essaye Interviewed on Yahoo Finance

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How is Meta going to monetize this? Tom Essaye Discusses Meta Post-Settlement

Is Meta a buy after its $16.68 billion social media case settlement?

Yahoo Finance Executive Editor Brian Sozzi talks with Yahoo Finance Markets and Data Editor Jared Blikre, Sevens Report Research Founder Tom Essaye, and Edward Jones Senior Global Investment Strategist Angelo Kourkafas about the company’s future and how it will approach monetizing AI.

I don’t think that this overhang is really the problem with Meta. I think the bigger problem is how are they going to monetize AI? To Angelo’s point earlier, we are shifting to a monetization phase. If you look at some of the other Mag 7 names, if you look at Google is sort of one of the closest competitors. Well, it’s obvious how they’re going to monetize it, right? They have Gemini, they have their chip business, they have their cloud storage business. How is Meta going to monetize this? Is it through better search revenue or better ad revenue through Insta? Is it through Facebook? Is it through leasing?

Also, click here to view the full video published on Yahoo Finance on August 26th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Tom Essaye On Why Cloud Capacity Is The Next Critical Bottleneck In AI Infrastructure

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Why Google and Amazon rank top among Cloud hyperscalers for AI

Sevens Report Research founder Tom Essaye explains why cloud capacity is the next critical bottleneck in AI infrastructure and ranks Google (GOOG), Amazon (AMZN), and Microsoft (MSFT) based on their cloud revenue opportunities.

So, I do like the hyperscalers, but I like the ones with the best cloud businesses. So really it’s not even so much that I love the hyperscalers, it’s that I love cloud right now because I think the cloud capacity is could be number uh number for first of all, the next bottleneck that has to be resolved in this AI day to build out after semiconductors and memory. And also it it provides an opportunity to generate revenue right now. So if I had to rank them in order, it would probably be Amazon, or excuse me, Google, Amazon and then Microsoft. The reason Microsoft is last is because I do think they have some risk on their office suite given, you know, some of the the AI software purge that we’re seeing. Uh but I think those three are attractive, mainly because of their cloud business, it’s providing revenue now.

Essaye is staying cautious about the Magnificent Seven names heading into earnings. 

Also, click here to view the full video published on Yahoo Finance on August 10th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

The Market’s Just Waiting For The Light To Turn Green

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The Stock Market Is at a Stop Light. Wall Street Awaits ‘Green Light’ on Iran, Inflation.

“We really are at a little stoplight on the drive higher, and the market’s just waiting for the light to turn green on Hormuz and on CPI, and then I think the rally will resume,” says Sevens Report Research’s Tom Essaye.

For the market, the on-again-off-again nature of supposed talks to reopen the Strait of Hormuz have become a “nuisance” for markets, Essaye says, though he thinks Wall Street sees an agreement as inevitable. In the meantime, WTI crude oil futures were up 1.3% to $83.20 a barrel.

“That’s not on the forefront of the market’s radar, but it should be,” Essaye says. “Because if we get a hot CPI tomorrow, they’re going to take a run toward 5%, probably by the end of the week. And that would be a new negative for markets.”

Also, click here to view the full article published in Barron’s on August 11th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Two Conditions Must Be Met For A Rebound | Tom Essaye

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[New York Stock Market] Falls on Middle East Tensions…Semiconductor Stocks Attract Bargain Buying

Tom Essaye, founder of the Sevens Report, also analyzed that for the market to rebound, two conditions must be met: strong earnings from major technology companies and clear signs of stabilization in the Middle East.

Also, click here to view the full article on The Asia Business Daily published on July 21st, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here

Tom Essaye – Staying Cautious With The Magnificent Seven Names Into Earnings. 

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One chart reveals why investors are concerned about earnings from Microsoft, Amazon, and other hyperscalers

“For me, it’s going to be about earnings with the Mag 7. It’s going to be about the capex number. What’s happening with free cash flow. And what is their guidance and how we turn all of this into real money sooner than later,” Sevens Report Research founder Tom Essaye said on Yahoo Finance’s Opening Bid.

Essaye is staying cautious about the Magnificent Seven names heading into earnings. 

Also, click here to view the full video published on Yahoo Finance on July 15th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Tom Essaye Talks About Netflix with Yahoo Finance Executive Editor

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I think that this is a very smart move by Meta, Says Tom Essaye

Why Netflix is a lot less ‘compelling’ than these 2 media stocks

Sevens Report Research founder Tom Essaye chat with Yahoo Finance Executive Editor Brian Sozzi about why Netflix isn’t a compelling buy in the media/entertainment space.

You know, over the past couple of years, Netflix has pulled levers to increase profitability by cracking down on sharing, by introducing, you know, more aggressive advertising, that sort of thing. But in the end, they’re now kind of being driven by their show slate and as you said, they have not had a hit in a while and that’s a problem.

Now, certainly the decline makes it, you know, somewhat attractive maybe on a value basis, but I agree with Thomas, it’s a show me stock. You have to see that there’s some sort of a of a turnaround or something coming down the pike that you can get excited about.

I actually agree with you, Brian. I think if I’m going to allocate some dollars to entertainment and sort of content, I would prefer Disney.

Also, click here to view the full video published on Yahoo Finance on July 15th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

How to Talk to Clients About the Latest in Iran

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • How to Talk to Clients About the Latest in Iran

Futures are slightly lower following disappointing tech earnings and more strikes between the U.S. and Iran.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) posted “not good enough” earnings and the stock is down –4% pre-market and that’s weighing on futures.

Focus today will stay on economic data, the Fed and earnings.  On the data front, the key reports are, in order of importance:   Retail Sales (E: -0.3%), Philly Fed (E: 3.0) and Jobless Claims (E: 220K).

Looking at the Fed, there are several speakers including Logan (12:30 p.m. ET), Schmid (1:25 p.m. ET) and  Jefferson (7:00 p.m. ET) although given the Warsh and Williams comments yesterday, these speakers will need to be very hawkish or dovish to move markets.

Finally, earnings season continues and key reports today include: UNH ($4.87), TSM ($3.87), GE ($1.86), ABT ($1.28), NFLX ($0.79), ISRG ($2.50), AA ($2.33).

 

Alpha Webinar Today at 1:30 p.m. ET: Where the AI Trade Goes Next

AI remains one of the most important investment themes in this market, but it’s no longer enough to simply be “bullish AI.” Leadership within the trade is changing, performance is becoming much more selective, and the next winners may look very different from the last winners.

In today’s Alpha Webinar (1:30 p.m. ET), we’ll explain how the AI trade is evolving, identify the groups we believe are best positioned for the next phase of the cycle, discuss the biggest risks investors should be watching, and outline what all of this means for portfolios over the coming months.

If AI is an important part of your investment process, join us this afternoon. Click here to register.