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Tom Essaye Quoted In NDTV On September 1st, 2026

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Wall Street Highlights: S&P 500 Slips As Oil Spike, Rising Fed Rate Bets Pressure Stocks

“Today there are no notable economic reports or Fed speak so focus will remain on geopolitics,” wrote Tom Essaye, founder of ‘The Sevens Report’ newsletter. “Markets still strongly assume there won’t be any material military escalation between Iran and the US, but if the headlines turn negative on that front, it’ll introduce a new headwind on the market.” 

Also, click here to view the full article published in NDTV on September 1st, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Tit-For-Tat strikes In The Middle East Makes A Ceasefire More Remote

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In a Quagmire Scenario, Here’s How and What to Trade

Reverting back to potential tit-for-tat strikes in the Middle East makes a ceasefire more remote. That means the global economy may have to endure an extended period of elevated oil, natural gas, and fertilizer prices that, over time, boost inflation, global bond yields, and potentially weigh on global growth, observes Tom Essaye, president of the Sevens Report.

This matters to you for two specific reasons. First, higher yields are one of the biggest headwinds for stocks right now. Fears of a quagmire will boost commodity prices. That, in turn, will keep yields elevated, keep inflation elevated, and potentially pressure consumer spending and global growth.

Second, it can impact what outperforms in the markets. As we saw Friday, growth factors in the market face stiffer headwinds when yields rise sharply. Since most growth ETFs are tech-heavy, that means the S&P 500 Index could feel pressure. Advisors will again want to make sure they have balance across portfolios and not be too growth/tech/AI heavy.

Bottom line: The conflicts are again in the headlines and impacting markets. It’s critical we understand how and why, so we can look past scary/sensational headlines and focus on the legitimate risks to markets.

Also, click here to view the full article published in moneyshow.com on September 2nd, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Focus Will Remain Primarily On Geopolitics | Tom Essaye Quoted in Barron’s

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Dow Futures Bounce Back as Tech Stocks Struggle for Direction

“Today focus will remain primarily on geopolitics and any positive headlines about ceasefire progress should pressure oil and yields and help stocks lift,” Tom Essaye of The Sevens Report says ahead of the market open.

Also, click here to view the full article published in Barron’s on September 2nd, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

How to Talk to Clients About the Wars (From a Market Standpoint)

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • How to Talk to Clients About the Wars (From a Market Standpoint)

Futures are moderately weaker as higher oil prices and rising global bond yields pressure stocks.

Global bond yields extended Monday’s gains overnight as the 10-year Japanese Government Bond yield hit 3.00% for the first time since 1996.

Economic data was solid as EU and UK manufacturing PMIs were in-line, while EU Core HICP (their CPI) beat estimates.

Focus today will remain on bond yields and the higher they go, the lower stocks will go.  The events that will influence yields today include 1) Any geopolitical headlines (any reports of ceasefire progress will pressure yields) and 2)  Economic data. Important reports today include the ISM Manufacturing PMI (E: 55.2) and JOLTS (E: 7.35 million) and the closer to in-line they are, the better for yields.  There is also one Fed speaker, Barr (9:05 a.m. ET), but he shouldn’t move markets.

Finally, on the earnings front we do get several important tech/AI earnings results after the close, including DELL ($4.72), PANW ($0.51) and MDB ($1.61).

 

Geopolitical Uncertainty Leaves Market Risks Skewed

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Oil: Trading in a “War Range” After Testing Pre-Conflict Lows

WTI crude oil futures posted a strong rally to start the week as last week’s heavy selloff was predicated on optimism that the US and Iran were poised to make progress on peace talks. After testing pre-war lows in early July, WTI has rallied back into the H1 2026 “war range” between $85 and $105 per barrel, writes Tom Essaye, president of the Sevens Report.

The lack of any progress towards a lasting ceasefire between the US and Iran, paired with the disappointment surrounding failed efforts by Oman and Iran to strike an independent agreement, further added to a squeezy rally in oil. WTI futures ended Monday higher by 5.2%.

Looking ahead, geopolitical uncertainty leaves market risks skewed in favor of the oil bulls. Global supply dynamics are getting closer to increasingly dire levels with each passing week that oil tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains at an effective standstill.

Until there is clarity on when Hormuz may reopen for free trade, WTI is set to trade between a newly formed band of technical support spanning $70-$75 and resistance from $95-$100.

Also, click here to view the full article published in moneyshow.com on August 12th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

FOMC Preview: How Likely is a Rate Hike?

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • FOMC Preview: How Likely Is a Rate Hike?
  • The Real Reason Oil Plunged on Monday

Futures are modestly lower following a quiet night of news as markets digest recent tech volatility ahead of earnings while oil fell further on U.S./Iran ceasefire optimism.

Oil prices declined another 2% overnight on more positive ceasefire commentary from Washington.

Today economic data centers on housing via the Case-Shiller Home Price Index (E: 0.0%) and FHFA House Price Index (E: 0.0%) and since they can be big influences on inflation stats (especially CPI), better than expected numbers will be a mild positive.  We also get Consumer Confidence (E: 92.3) but that shouldn’t move markets.

On earnings, the key tech reports start tomorrow but some reports we’re watching today include: PYPL ($1.28), BA ($-0.34), KO ($0.92), UPS ($1.65), DINO ($4.39), V ($3.23), STX ($4.89) and ENPH ($0.16).

 

Tom Essaye Quoted in Bloomberg

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We need some solid earnings from the key tech names this week, Says Tom Essaye

Stocks, Bonds Fall as US-Iran Risks Whipsaw Oil: Markets Wrap

“For stocks to rebound, we need some solid earnings from the key tech names this week, and de-escalation in Iran wouldn’t hurt,” said Tom Essaye at The Sevens Report. “Markets will want to see strong results and more signs of robust demand, but also evidence of restraint and a focus on stability.”

Also, click here to view the full article published in Bloomberg on July 19th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Did Markets Pass or Fail the Three Tests Last Week?

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Did Markets Pass or Fail the Three Tests Last Week?
  • Weekly Market Preview: Focus on Earnings This Week
  • Weekly Economic Cheat Sheet: Important Growth Updates

Futures are slightly higher as markets bounce from Friday’s declines despite further escalation between the U.S. and Iran over the weekend.

Oil prices hit $90/bbl overnight on continued escalation between the U.S. and Iran but pulled back and are flat after both sides reiterated they are still open to negotiations.

Economically, there was more positive inflation data as German PPI fell more than expected (-0.3% vs. (E) -0.2%).

Today there are no notable economic reports but focus will remain on geopolitics and any progress (at all) on a new ceasefire agreement will be a positive for stocks.

On earnings, this week is an important one although most of the major reports come later this week.  Some results we’re watching today include: DPZ ($4.09), AMC ($-0.01), STLD ($3.66).

 

Geopolitical Headlines Still Have The Potential to Blindside Traders

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Global oil prices notch back-to-back rise, remain ‘tethered to the Hormuz narrative’

Given Monday’s big rally in oil prices and Tuesday’s whipsaw intraday retreat from the highs, Tyler Richey, co-editor at Sevens Report Research, said it’s clear that geopolitical headlines still have the “potential to blindside traders and [trading] algorithms alike.”

Also, click here to view the full article published in MarketWatch on July 14th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

How to Talk to Clients About the Latest in Iran

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • How to Talk to Clients About the Latest in Iran

Futures are slightly lower following disappointing tech earnings and more strikes between the U.S. and Iran.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) posted “not good enough” earnings and the stock is down –4% pre-market and that’s weighing on futures.

Focus today will stay on economic data, the Fed and earnings.  On the data front, the key reports are, in order of importance:   Retail Sales (E: -0.3%), Philly Fed (E: 3.0) and Jobless Claims (E: 220K).

Looking at the Fed, there are several speakers including Logan (12:30 p.m. ET), Schmid (1:25 p.m. ET) and  Jefferson (7:00 p.m. ET) although given the Warsh and Williams comments yesterday, these speakers will need to be very hawkish or dovish to move markets.

Finally, earnings season continues and key reports today include: UNH ($4.87), TSM ($3.87), GE ($1.86), ABT ($1.28), NFLX ($0.79), ISRG ($2.50), AA ($2.33).

 

Alpha Webinar Today at 1:30 p.m. ET: Where the AI Trade Goes Next

AI remains one of the most important investment themes in this market, but it’s no longer enough to simply be “bullish AI.” Leadership within the trade is changing, performance is becoming much more selective, and the next winners may look very different from the last winners.

In today’s Alpha Webinar (1:30 p.m. ET), we’ll explain how the AI trade is evolving, identify the groups we believe are best positioned for the next phase of the cycle, discuss the biggest risks investors should be watching, and outline what all of this means for portfolios over the coming months.

If AI is an important part of your investment process, join us this afternoon. Click here to register.