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Tom Essaye Quoted on MSN.com

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S&P 500 rally fuels record earnings forecasts despite risks

Robust first-quarter results from major banks and tech firms have driven S&P 500 earnings per share from about $235 in 2024 to projected $315 in 2026, according to Sevens Report Research

“If anything, there’s upward risk, and that tells you that companies are executing well in an environment where fear is high, but the actual reality is quite good.” Tom Essaye, Founder, Sevens Report Research

Also, click here to view the full article on MSN.com published on April 20th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Tom Essaye Chats with Yahoo Finance to Discuss Where Markets are Headed

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Tom Essaye chats with Yahoo Finance to discuss where markets are headed

Why Ed Yardeni says a market melt-up could be coming

Yardeni Research’s Ed Yardeni says there is a 20% chance of a market melt-up and a 20% chance of a market meltdown.

Yahoo Finance Senior Reporter Brooke DiPalma and Sevens Report Research founder Tom Essaye sit down with Yahoo Finance Executive Editor Brian Sozzi to discuss where markets are headed.

“I don’t know what the official definition of a melt-up is, but 13 straight days is pretty substantial. I think that that sort of what is important to this melt-up though is why it is happening. I think the first stage of this, honestly, most of these 13 days has been funds that got underinvested or maybe a little too light into all this volatility, trying to chase stocks higher.

And we call these the Mag 7 stocks, the Mega Cap tech stocks, long only rentals. Which means if I’m a fund and I need to slap on exposure really fast, then I need a liquid stock that trades with a high beta to the market and I look right to Mega Cap tech. And so I think a lot of the gains of the past 13 days have not necessarily been fundamentally driven in these tech stocks, but just a lot of funds and investors trying to slap on exposure.

Now, we’re getting into earnings for these tech stocks. And if they’re good, then you’re going to see this thing just turbocharge. And so I think it is a lot about earnings and I think the sort of the pieces are in place for a continued melt up in the tech stocks.” Said Tom Essaye

Also, click here to view the full video published on Yahoo Finance on April 20th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Tom Essaye says banks are in a good position to know how consumers are doing

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Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report Research, said banks have a 360-degree view of most American consumers’ financial lives now.

Big banks remark on “resilience” of U.S. consumers

But what’s notable about this week’s earnings is what they say about consumers. Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report Research, said banks are in a good position to know how consumers are doing.

“They’re essentially financial supermarkets, and they really have a 360-degree view of most American consumers’ financial lives now, whether it’s through checking, loans, credit cards,” he said.

Also, click here to view the full article on Marketplace.org published on April 15th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Tom Essaye Explains Tariff Uncertainty Live With Yahoo Finance

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Tom Essaye explains what the tariff uncertainty means for companies, consumers, and markets with Yahoo Finance

FedEx is latest company to sue Trump admin. for tariff refunds

Sevens Report Research founder Tom Essaye joins the live show with Yahoo Finance Markets and Data Editor Jared Blikre and Yahoo Finance Senior Markets Reporter Ines Ferré to break down what the tariff uncertainty means for companies, consumers, and markets.

I don’t think it’s going to impact markets. Look, in the short term, the tariff chaos is just adding to the general uncertainty that AI anxiety has brought on the markets.

Here’s the key about tariffs. The markets are not worried that the Trump administration is going to do something so, for lack of a better word, dumb that it’s going to hurt the economy on trade. Trump and the administration have backed off numerous times. The market continues to think they will. The refund thing is going to be a mess for years. The lawyers are going to be the biggest winners from that, not the consumers. I don’t think tariffs are a major issue for this market.

Also, click here to view the full video published on Yahoo Finance on February 24th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Tom Essaye Discusses the Warner Brothers and Netflix bid With Yahoo Finance

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Tom Essaye Discusses Warner Brothers and Netflix With Yahoo Finance

Paramount, Netflix’s bidding war ‘underscores’ Warner Bros. value

Sevens Report Research founder Tom Essaye, Yahoo Finance Senior Reporter Ines Ferré, and Yahoo Finance Markets and Data Editor Jared Blikre all weigh in on whether Paramount’s new deal is sweet enough for WBD to reconsider a sale to streamer Netflix.

I think Netflix still wins. I mean that Warner Brothers has still accepted the bid from Netflix and now they’re going to consider this elevated bid from Paramount, which we can assume is above $30 because I believe that was the last uh bid that they made. We don’t know where Netflix is in the process, but we do know that Netflix has a lot of money and are likely well able to increase its bid if necessary to secure the rights. You know, this is sort of a refreshing little like, you know, break from all this concern that AI is going to ruin society. 

Also, click here to view the full video published on Yahoo Finance on February 24th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Sevens Report Puts S&P 500’s Powerful 3-Year Run in Perspective

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Recent gains rank among the strongest three-year returns in market history.

Putting the S&P 500’s strong 3-year return in context

On Wednesday, the S&P 500 wrapped up a three-year stretch that saw it gain about 84%, according to Sevens Report Research.

That places it among the index’s strongest three-year returns in the history of the U.S. stock market, said Tom Essaye, founder and president of Sevens Report Research. To be more precise, this return ranks in the 94th percentile of three-year returns over the past 100 years.

The best three-year return for the S&P 500 during that time occurred from 1995 to 1997 — +125.6% — the second-best occurred between 1933 and 1935 — +124.1% — and the third-best occurred from 1926 to 1928 — +120.4%. In each case, the index was lower five years later.

Also, click here to view the full article published in MarketWatch on January 2nd, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Nvidia, AMD Deal with Trump Administration Eases AI Investor Fears: Tom Essaye

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Chip sales to China continue under new revenue-sharing agreement

Nvidia & AMD investors can put China chip tariff risks ‘to bed’

Sevens Report founder Tom Essaye and Allspring Global’s John Campbell discussed reports that Nvidia and AMD reached a deal with the Trump administration to resume selling chips in China, with 15% of the revenue going to the U.S. government.

Essaye said the agreement signals that the companies are “ready to play ball” with policymakers to protect growth in the AI sector. “Eighty-five percent is a lot more than zero,” he noted, calling the resolution a relief for AI-focused investors now that a major uncertainty has been removed.

Also, click here to view the full video featured on Yahoo Finance published on August 11th, 2025. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Why Today’s CPI Is So Important (Hint: 50, 25, 0)

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Why Today’s CPI Is So Important (Hint: 50, 25, 0)
  • Gold Chart: Fragile Record Highs

Futures are flat as traders look ahead to today’s all-important CPI report.

Economically, the U.K.’s Unemployment Rate held steady at 4.7%, as expected, while the German ZEW Survey missed estimates, but the July NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose to 100.3 vs. (E) 98.9 from 98.6 in June.

Today, market focus will be almost exclusively on inflation data before the bell with CPI (E: 0.2% m/m, 2.8% y/y) and Core CPI (E: 0.3% m/m, 3.0% y/y) due out at 8:30 a.m. ET.

After the open, there are two Fed officials scheduled to speak: Barkin (10:00 a.m. ET) and Schmid (10:30 a.m. ET), and any comments or insights they may offer in reaction to the CPI data could move markets.

Finally, earnings season continues to wind down but there are a handful of companies due to report quarterly results today which could move markets, including: CAH ($2.03), SE ($0.72), RGTI ($-0.05), HRB ($2.81), CRCL ($-1.29), and ETOR ($0.49).

 

Tom Essaye Warns AI-Driven Stock Surge Shows Classic Bubble Traits

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Sevens Report founder sees parallels with past late-cycle manias

US Stocks Drop as Investors Wait on CPI Data to Set Fed’s Path

The current equity rally may be entering bubble territory, according to Sevens Report founder Tom Essaye, who advises some of Wall Street’s largest firms. Essaye points to weakening U.S. economic conditions alongside stretched valuations, with the S&P 500 up 28% since April and 57% since ChatGPT’s debut in November 2022.

In an August 1 client note, Essaye compared today’s AI-fueled rally to past bubbles, such as the internet and real estate booms, where a single narrative drove expectations of “unlimited earnings growth” across sectors. He warns that the AI theme now plays that role, creating risks for advisors managing long-term portfolios.

Also, click here to view the full article featured on The Wealth Advisor published on August 10th, 2025. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here

MMT Chart: A “Relatively” Different Look at Stocks

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • August MMT Chart Update: A “Relatively” Different Look at Stocks
  • ISM Services Index – A Fresh “Whiff” of Stagflation
  • Stagflation Risks Set Gold Up for Run to Record Highs

Futures are tracking global markets higher this morning as investors shrug off both the ISM Services Index from yesterday, which carried a whiff of stagflation, and soft earnings from semiconductor giants AMD (-7%) and SMCI (-17%) after the close yesterday.

Economically, EU Retail Sales rose 3.1% vs. (E) 2.6% which is serving to tamp down worries about the health of the global economy.

Looking ahead to today’s session, there are no noteworthy economic reports due to be released.

However, the Treasury will hold a 4-Month Bill auction at 11:30 a.m. ET and a 10-Yr Note auction at 1:00 p.m. ET and investors will look for the recent trend of healthy demand metrics to continue, despite the sharp drop in yields since Friday’s dismal jobs report.

Additionally, there are a few Fed officials scheduled to speak who could shed light on the prospects of a September rate cut (which is increasingly expected) including Cook & Collins (2:00 p.m. ET) and Daly (3:10 p.m. ET).

Finally, earnings season continues with MCD ($3.15), UBER ($0.62), SHOP ($0.20), DIS ($1.47), NRG ($1.54), ABNB ($0.93), and ET ($0.32) all reporting quarterly results today.

For now, investors are overlooking the soft semiconductor earnings from late yesterday, however, any Q2 results that challenge the idea that the consumer remains resilient and healthy in 2025, could add to recession worries and pressure stocks again today.