Special Technical Report Coming Monday
What’s in Today’s Report:
- Special Technical Report Coming Monday
- Why Did the VIX Just Hit 52 Week Lows?
- EIA Analysis and Oil Market Update
- Two Notable Observations from a Quiet Trading Day
Futures are moderately weaker following a disappointing night of earnings.
TSLA, NOK, FFIV and TSMC all missed earnings and provided cautious commentary or guidance, and that’s increasing concerns about an economic slowdown.
Today there are numerous potential catalysts including important economic reports, lots of Fed speak and more earnings reports.
Starting with the data, the key report today is Philly Fed (E: -19.4) and markets will want to see if it confirms the rebound we saw in Empire (if it does, expect some stock weakness as Fed expectations become slightly more hawkish). We also get Jobless Claims (E: 242K) and any move closer to 300k will be welcomed as it signals a slightly more normal labor market.
Turning to the Fed, there are multiple speakers today including Waller (12:00 p.m. ET), Mester (12:20 p.m. ET), Logan (3:00 p.m. ET) and Bostic (5:00 p.m. ET) and it will be notable to see if they all push back on the rate cut expectations in the markets.
Finally, on earnings, results lately have been underwhelming so these reports are becoming more important. Earnings we’re watching today include: T ($0.58), TSM ($1.21), AXP ($2.63), UNP ($2.57), PPG ($1.55), CSX ($0.43), STX ($0.18).
