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Rising Headline Risk But Fundamentals Still Solid

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Are Higher Taxes a Risk to the Rally?

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April Economic Breaker Panel: Is the Economy Set to Overheat?

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Election Roadmap

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Tom Essaye Quoted in SwissInfo.ch on October 22, 2020

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A Familiar Question: 1998 or 2000?

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The Yield Curve Is Still Bullish on Stocks

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • ISM Manufacturing Index Takeaways
  • The Yield Curve Is Still Bullish on Stocks

U.S. equity futures are churning lower this morning after a mostly quiet night of news as investors digest yesterday’s strong start to the month of August and continue to wait for details regarding the next stimulus package.

Economically, eurozone PPI rose 0.7% vs. (E) 0.5% in June helping support a modest bounce in the euro vs. the dollar this morning.

Today, there are two economic data points due to be released: Motor Vehicle Sales (14.0M) and Factory Orders (E: 5.2%) while no Fed officials are scheduled to speak today.

On the earnings front, there are a few notable reports today including: BP (-$0.99), BYND (-$0.01), ALL ($1.41), and PRU ($1.72) but none of those should materially move markets as investors will remain focused on the stimulus talks on Capitol Hill while the July labor market statistics, which begin to hit tomorrow, are also coming into focus.

What’s Next for the Oil Market?

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Oil Market Outlook: Supply, Demand, and COVID-19
  • Economic Data Takeaways

Stock futures are modestly higher this morning while international markets were mixed overnight as investors weigh a fresh record number of new coronavirus cases in the U.S. against economic data that was mostly upbeat this week.

NFLX is notably down 7% in pre-market trade after the company reported disappointing Q2 results yesterday.

Economically, Eurozone HICP met expectations in June, rising 0.3% but the report did not materially move markets overnight.

Today,  investor focus will be on earnings early with three more notable financial companies reporting before the bell: ALLY ($0.33), BLK ($6.90), and CFG ($0.17).

Then there are two economic reports due out this morning: Housing Starts (E: 1.190M), and Consumer Sentiment (E: 79.3) while no Fed officials are scheduled to speak.

Bottom line, markets began to trade with a more cautious tone over the course of the week but for now, upbeat economic data has been able to offset rising new cases of COVID-19 in the U.S. and as long as underlying sentiment remains largely optimistic, stocks should be able to maintain or extend gains into the weekend today.