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Tom Essaye Quoted in Barron’s on August 25, 2021

Dick’s Soars, Nordstrom Drops — And What Else Is Happening in the Stock Market Wednesday

The odds that the market makes a material move one way or another are…writes Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report Research. Click here to read the full article.

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Tom Essaye Quoted in Bloomberg on August 25, 2021

For Fed Taper, Forget When It Starts. The End Matters More

The key for markets is how quickly the Fed removes the accommodation, because that dictates…said Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader who founded “The Sevens Report” newsletter. Click here to read the full article.

Tom Essaye Quoted in Barron’s on August 23, 2021

Pfizer Climbs, Exxon Jumps — And What Else Is Happening in the Stock Market Monday

Futures are modestly higher on momentum from Friday’s rally and following mixed…writes Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report Research. Click here to read the full article.

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Tom Essaye Quoted in CNBC on August 2, 2021

Dow tumbles nearly 100 points after late-day sell-off in stocks

At the end of the day, the stock market is driven by two things: 1) Earnings and…Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report, said in a note. Click here to read the full article.

Tom Essaye Quoted in Report Door on July 20, 2021

Stock market is at risk of a correction if this happens amid the spread of the Delta variant

This market is vulnerable to a bigger pullback or correction if there’s a new negative…warns Sevens Report Research founder Tom Essaye in a research note to clients. Click here to read the full article.

Tom Essaye Quoted in Yahoo Finance on July 20, 2021

Stock market is at risk of a correction if this happens amid the spread of the Delta variant

This market is vulnerable to a bigger pullback or correction if there’s a new… warns Sevens Report Research founder Tom Essaye. Click here to read the full article.

Tom Essaye Quoted in Barron’s on June 15, 2021

Spirit Airlines Gains, Fastenal Falls, and the Stock Market Is Flat

Ahead of the data, markets will want to see solid numbers but nothing so hot that it implies the economy…Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report Research, wrote. Click here to read the full article.

Tom Essaye Quoted in Barron’s on June 7, 2021

Biogen Rises, Tellurian Gains, and the Stock Market Isn’t Doing Much

The major equity benchmarks weren’t moving much amid underwhelming economic data and as…writes Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report Research. Click here to read the full article.

Updated Market Outlook (Volatility isn’t Automatically Bearish)

What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Updated Market Outlook – Increased Volatility Isn’t Automatically Bearish
  • Weekly Market Preview:  Do We Get More Hints of Stagflation?
  • Weekly Economic Cheat Sheet:  Friday’s Flash PMIs are Key.

Futures are modestly lower following disappointing Chinese economic data.

Chinese economic data joined recent U.S. data in hinting at a possible plateauing recovery and building inflation pressures.  Industrial Production rose 9.8% vs. (E) 10.0% while Retail Sales gained 17.7% vs. (E) 25%.  Housing Prices, meanwhile, rose 0.48% vs. (E) 0.41%.

Today the Empire Manufacturing Survey (E: 25) is the key report and markets will want to see solid data and stable prices indices.  We also get the Housing Market Index (E: 83) but that shouldn’t move markets.

From a Fed standpoint, Clarida (10:05 am ET) is the headliner today while Bostic (10:00 a.m. ET) will also provide comments.

Jobs Report Preview (Too Hot is the Risk)

What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Jobs Report Preview (Too Hot Is the Risk)
  • EIA Analysis  and Oil Market Update

Futures are modestly higher as markets digest yesterday’s dovish Fed rhetoric while data overnight was solid.

German Manufacturers’ Orders and Euro Zone Retail Sales both beat estimates, again implying the economic recovery in Europe is gaining momentum (this is positive for European stocks).

Fed officials repeated their dovish stance yesterday with Vice Chair Clarida reinforcing it’s not time to think about tapering despite rising inflation and strong growth.

Today focus will be on weekly Jobless Claims (E: 533K) and again markets will want to see them hold the gains of the past few weeks.  We also get numerous Fed speakers including (in order of importance): Williams (9:00 a.m. ET), Mester (1:00 p.m. ET), Bostic (1:00 p.m. ET) and Kaplan (10:00 a.m. ET) but we don’t expect any of them to materially move markets.