What’s in Today’s Report:
- Market Multiple Levels: S&P 500 Chart
- Quick CPI Preview
There is a tentative sense of relief in markets this morning with stock futures tracking global equities higher while bond yields and the dollar pullback ahead of key inflation data in the U.S. today.
Economically, Chinese CPI and PPI were both hotter-than-expected however German CPI met estimates of 7.4% y/y which is giving investors hope that price pressures are still high but in the process of peaking.
Looking into today’s session investors will be primarily focused on the CPI report (E: 0.2% m/m, 8.1% y/y), and more specifically the Core CPI figures (E: 0.4% m/m, 6.0% y/y).
We will also hear from one Fed speaker: Bostic (12:00 p.m. ET), and there is a 10-Yr Treasury Note auction at 1:00 p.m. ET.
Bottom line, if today’s inflation data comes in below expectations, it will likely bolster this morning’s already solid gains in stock futures and lead to a further relief rally. Conversely, if inflation runs hot, expect more volatility across asset classes and the potential for new lows in the major equity indices.