What’s in Today’s Report:
- Jobs Report Preview
Futures are moderately higher on solid economic data and rising hope China could relax its “Zero COVID” policies.
The EU Composite PMI (47.3 vs. (E) 47.1) and UK Construction PMI (53.2 vs. (E) 50.5) both beat estimates, implying economic activity in Europe isn’t collapsing.
In China, an article in the South China Morning Post stated “big and substantive” changes looming for COVID policies.
Today focus will be on the Jobs Report and estimates are as follows: Job Adds: 210K, UE Rate: 3.6%, Wages: 0.3% m/m, 4.7% y/y. If markets can get an underwhelming number (say the low 100’s) that will be the first material sign the labor market is starting to deteriorate, and it could spark a rally in stocks as the Fed needs better balance in the labor market before they can “pivot.”
Away from the jobs report, we also have one Fed speaker, Collins at 10:00 a.m. ET but she shouldn’t move markets.