What’s in Today’s Report:
- Infrastructure Update
- Hurricane Ida and Energy Markets
Stock futures are trading at all-time highs this morning as dovish, risk-on money flows continue into the end of the month following mixed economic data overseas.
Economically, China’s Manufacturing PMI fell to 50.1 vs. (E) 50.2 in August while inflation data in Europe was slightly firmer than estimates but the outlook for global central bank policy remains notably accommodative and that is a positive for equities and other risk assets.
Today, there are two reports on the housing market in the US: Case-Shiller Home Price Index (E: 1.7%) and FHFA House Price Index (E: 1.8%) before the more important Consumer Confidence (E: 123.0) report is released shortly after the open.
Beyond those economic data points, there are no other material catalysts as no Fed officials are scheduled to speak and there are no Treasury auctions this afternoon.
Bottom line, momentum remains positive for stocks into the end of the month however a soft Consumer Confidence number or negative COVID headline could serve as an excuse for profit taking and cause a reversal of the early morning gains today.