How Positive is the Restart of Disinflation?

What’s in Today’s Report:

  • How Positive is the Restart of Disinflation?
  • Weekly Market Preview:  Regional Bank Earnings This Week (Do They Ease Contagion Concerns?)
  • Weekly Economic Cheat Sheet:  First Look at April Economic Activity

Futures are little changed following a quiet weekend of news as investors await key regional bank earnings this week.

The only notable economic report this morning was Italian CPI, which fell –0.4% vs. (E) -0.3% and further implied that global disinflation has restarted (which is a positive).

Today we get the first look at April economic activity via the Empire Manufacturing Survey (E: -18.3) and markets will want to see stability (so not a continued steep drop).  We also get the latest look at housing via the Housing Market Index (E: 45).

Additionally, regional bank earnings start and their commentary on deposits and “Held to Maturity” securities will be especially important.  Some reports we’re watching today include: SCHW ($0.90), GNTY ($0.69), MTB ($3.98), JBHT ($2.05).