The Next Phase of the AI Revolution

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • The Next Phase of the AI Revolution
  • Why There Was De-escalation in the Trump/Powell Feud Yesterday

Futures are modestly higher following the announcement of a trade deal with Japan late Wednesday night, although underwhelming earnings are offsetting some of that news.

President Trump announced a trade deal with Japan and 15% tariffs on imports, a level not as bad as feared.

Tech earnings overnight underwhelmed, with ASML and TXN posting slightly disappointing results.

Today there is only one economic report, Existing Home Sales (E: 4.01 million), and it shouldn’t move markets.

So, focus will stay on trade and earnings. On trade, the Japan deal will raise hopes a similar deal with the EU can be stuck before next Friday.

On earnings, key reports to watch today include (in order of importance): TSLA ($0.28), GOOGL ($2.14), IBM ($2.64), T ($0.51), TMO ($5.22), FCX ($0.46), NEE ($1.01), TMUS ($2.69).

 

New and Interesting ETFs for Your Watchlist

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • New and Interesting ETFs for Your Watchlist

Futures are slightly lower following “not good enough” earnings and a lack of trade deal progress.

NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) was the big report overnight and it beat estimates, but the results weren’t as good as hoped for and the stock is down –6% pre-market.

On trade, a deal with India and the EU before the August 1st deadline is looking increasingly less likely.

Today there are no economic reports but there is a speech from Fed Chair Powell (8:30 a.m. ET) and markets will be look for any clues that he’s more open to a July rate cut (this is very unlikely and he’ll almost certainty stay in the “wait and see” mode, but if he were dovish it’d be a market positive).  We also hear from Governor Bowman today (1:00 p.m. ET).

On earnings, the week continues to ramp up and some reports we’re watching today include:  KO ($0.83), PM ($1.85) , GM ($2.45), TXN ($1.32).

 

 

Sevens Report Special Report: Asteroid Mining & the Future of Gold

The Sevens Report Special Report: Asteroid Mining & the Future of Gold has been met with extremely positive feedback as thought-provoking research.

As a reminder, this report is free for all Sevens Report subscribers and can be accessed on the “My Reports” section of www.sevensreport.com.   

Some subscribers have expressed interest in sharing this with clients, both as a Sevens Report branded publication and as a “White Labeled” version, and that option is available for purchase for a discounted price. 

To learn more about the white labeled version of the Asteroid Mining & the Future of Gold Special Report, please click this link.   

 

Why Markets Continue to Ignore Macro Risks

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Why Markets Continue to Ignore Macro Risks
  • Weekly Market Preview:  Focus Turns to Earnings (Including Major Tech Names)
  • Weekly Economic Cheat Sheet:  Flash PMIs Thursday is the Big Report This Week

Futures are modestly higher mostly on momentum following a generally quiet weekend of news.

There were no notable trade headlines over the weekend and markets are still awaiting any progress on trade deals with the EU, India and Japan.

Economically, there were no notable international reports overnight.

Today there is only one economic report, Leading Indicators (E: -0.2%), and it shouldn’t move markets.

Instead, focus today and this week will be on earnings and specifically the commentary from CEOs on the consumer and economy.  Some reports we’re watching today include: NXPI ($2.29), VZ ($1.18), DPZ ($3.93), CLF ($-0.67), CCK ($1.86).

 

S&P 500 Posts Weekly Gain as Markets Eye Trade, Earnings

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Sevens Report highlights focus on Japan deal and earnings outlook

US Stocks End Little Changed With S&P 500 Notching Weekly Gain

MARKET STAYS FLAT — BUT GAINS HOLD

U.S. stocks ended little changed Friday, with the S&P 500 securing a weekly gain as traders look ahead to trade negotiations and earnings.

Tom Essaye of the Sevens Report notes:

“Focus will stay on trade and earnings. The Japan deal will raise hopes a similar deal with the EU can be stuck before next Friday.”

Despite geopolitical noise and inflation concerns earlier in the week, markets have stayed resilient — for now.

Next catalysts: corporate earnings season and potential EU trade developments.

Also, click here to view the full article published in Bloomberg on July 18th, 2025. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

S&P 500 Logs Weekly Gain as Resilient Spending Supports Rally

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Sevens Report points to tariffs and solid consumer demand

A Steady Rise in U.S. Stocks Leads to the S&P 500 Weekly Gains

U.S. stocks ticked higher Friday, helping the S&P 500 post another weekly gain as investors digested earnings, Fed commentary, and tariff effects.

Tom Essaye of The Sevens Report noted:

“Some weakness is appearing in import-sensitive industries, possibly tied to tariffs, but overall consumer spending remains solid.”

That consumer strength is fueling the soft-landing narrative, keeping U.S. equities near all-time highs in 2025.

Also, click here to view the full article published in Tradealgo.com on July 18th, 2025. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Why Wednesday’s Bond Volatility Is Important (Trump vs. Powell)

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Why Wednesday’s Bond Volatility Is Important (Trump vs. Powell)

Futures are slightly higher following more dovish commentary from a Fed member and generally “fine” earnings.

Fed Governor Waller called for a 25-bps cut at the July FOMC meeting in a speech overnight, although markets assume he’s now jockeying to be the next Fed Chair and a rate cut this month remains very unlikely.

Today the economic calendar is mostly quiet (there are only two reports, Housing Starts (1.300M) and Consumer Sentiment (E: 60.7) and neither should move markets) but there are some notable earnings to watch including, in order of importance:  AXP ($3.86), SCHW ($1.09), MMM ($2.01), SLB ($0.73), ALLY ($0.78), TFC ($0.92).  In particular, if customer spending and management commentary from AXP is positive, that will further underscore that the consumer remains resilient in this uncertain environment.

 

Sevens Report Special Report: Asteroid Mining & the Future of Gold

The Sevens Report Special Report: Asteroid Mining & the Future of Gold has been met with extremely positive feedback as thought-provoking research.

As a reminder, this report is free for all Sevens Report subscribers and can be accessed on the “My Reports” section of www.sevensreport.com.   

Some subscribers have expressed interest in sharing this with clients, both as a Sevens Report branded publication and as a “White Labeled” version, and that option is available for purchase for a discounted price. 

To learn more about the white labeled version of the Asteroid Mining & the Future of Gold Special Report, please click this link.   

3 Market Cycles in 8 Months: How to Trade What’s Coming Next

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Sevens Report breaks down past trends to prepare investors for the future

3 markets in eight months — understanding the playbook for what’s next

3 PHASES. 8 MONTHS. 1 STRATEGY TO STAY AHEAD.

According to Sevens Report, the past eight months saw U.S. markets shift through three clear phases — each tied to macroeconomic policy and sentiment:

  1. Trumponomics Euphoria (Nov–Jan):
    Fueled by expectations of tax cuts, deregulation, and GOP control.

    • S&P 500 +5.4%

    • Cyclicals like financials and consumer discretionary outperformed.

  2. Recession Paranoia (Feb–Apr):
    Escalating tariff threats and erratic policy execution spooked investors.

    • S&P 500 −7.86%

    • Defensives like utilities and staples led.

  3. Ignoring Macro, Chasing Growth (May–Present):
    Trade concerns eased, and investor focus shifted to AI-led growth.

    • Rally led by NVIDIA, Microsoft, Alphabet

    • AI tech and intrinsic-growth names dominate.

“Understanding what defined them and the strategies that outperformed will help us 1) Identify the next type of market and 2) Outperform.”

What’s next depends on trade clarity and growth outlook:

  • Improved clarity = return of Trumponomics

  • Worsening outlook = back to Recession Paranoia

  • Lingering uncertainty = AI tech continues to lead

Also, click here to view the full article published in Investing.com on July 15th, 2025. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

June CPI Shows Early Tariff-Driven Inflation Signs

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Sevens Report says tariff pressures may be emerging in inflation data

Tariff Impact Starts to Show in June CPI Report

TARIFFS START TO BITE?

June’s CPI data came in mostly as expected — but Sevens Report flagged one critical detail: tariff price pressures may already be appearing.

  • Headline CPI: +2.7% YoY (vs. 2.6% est.)
    Driven by higher energy costs from Middle East tensions.

  • Core CPI: +2.9% YoY (in line with forecast)
    But up from May, suggesting an uptick that caught investors’ attention.

“There was enough in this report to keep alive concerns that tariffs will stoke inflation.” — Sevens Report

While the report doesn’t eliminate hopes for a Fed cut later this year, September is now far less likely.

Markets were flat at first — but as investors digested the data, stocks began to slip.

Bottom line: This CPI report was “no worse than feared,” but it’s the first real sign that Trump’s tariff policies are starting to ripple through prices — and the next wave of duties is just weeks away.

Also, click here to view the full article published in agweb.com on July 16th, 2025. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

What Trump vs. Powell Means for Markets (Three Scenarios)

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • What the Trump vs. Powell Tensions Mean for Markets
  • EIA Data Takeaways and Oil Market Update

Futures are slightly higher after a mostly quiet newswires night of news as tech shares catch a bid on the back of solid earnings and optimistic guidance from global chip-making giant TSMC overnight.

Economically, Eurozone HICP (their CPI equivalent) met estimates at 2.0% y/y on the headline while the core figure edged up to 2.3%, also as expected.

Today, focus will be on economic data early with Jobless Claims (E: 233K), Retail Sales (E: 0.1%), the Philly Fed Surve (E: -0.4), Import and Export Prices (E: 0.2% m/m, -0.1% m/m), and the latest Housing Market Index (E: 33) all due to be released.

There are also multiple Fed officials scheduled to speak today including: Kugler (10:00 a.m. ET), Daly (12:45 p.m. ET), and Cook (1:30 p.m. ET).

Finally, earnings season continues with TSM ($2.37), GE ($1.43), PEP ($2.03), USB ($1.07), ABT ($1.25), NFLX ($7.07), and IBKR ($0.45) all scheduled to release quarterly reports today.

Bottom line, traders will want to see economic data that pushes back on the ideas of stagflation or a hard-landing (two economic worries of late) and hear a more dovish tone from Fed speakers amid more positive earnings news in order for stocks to extend the recent rally to new records.

A New Type of Research Offering

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • A New Type of Research from Sevens Report – Introducing “Special Reports”
  • Economic Takeaways – CPI and Empire State Manufacturing Tamp Down Dovish Policy Hopes
  • Why September Rate Cut Odds Are Receding (Slightly)

Futures are little changed while there is a tentative bid in the bond market as investors continue to digest the June CPI release and look ahead to more earnings today.

Economically, U.K. CPI rose +0.2% to 3.6% y/y vs. (E) 3.4% which is bolstering the pound and weighing modestly on the dollar index this morning as well as capping a rebound in bonds.

Looking into today’s session, the second important inflation print of the week is due to be released before the bell with PPI (E: 0.2% m/m, 2.5% y/y), and Core PPI (E: 0.2% m/m, 2.7% y/y) scheduled for 8:30 a.m. ET while Industrial Production (E: 0.1%) will be released at 9:15 a.m. ET.

A busy week of Fed speak also continues with multiple officials delivering remarks today including Barkin (8:00 a.m. ET), Hammack (9:15 a.m. ET), and Barr (10:00 a.m. ET).

The market will be looking for any signs of “cooler” inflation or modest slowing in growth to rekindle September rate cut hopes which would offer fresh support for the equity market rally.

Finally, earnings season continues with multiple notable companies releasing quarter results today including ASML ($5.94), BAC ($0.86), GS ($9.43), MS ($1.93), JNJ ($2.66), PGR ($4.30), UAL ($3.86), and KMI ($0.28).