Assessing (and Ranking) Market Risks as We Start Q2
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What’s in Today’s Report:
- Assessing (and Ranking) Market Risks as We Start Q2
- Weekly Market Preview: Will Important Data Continue to Point Towards a Soft Landing?
- Weekly Economic Cheat Sheet: Jobs Report Friday, ISM Manufacturing and Services Mon/Wed
Futures are solidly higher to start Q2 as expectations for a June rate cut remain high after the Core PCE Price Index met expectations and Powell provided no surprises in his comments (both last Friday).
Friday’s Core PCE Price Index met expectations, rising 2.8% y/y and keeping June rate cut expectations in place.
The Chinese March Manufacturing PMI rose to 50.8 vs. (E) 50.1 increasing hopes for an economic rebound.
Today focus will be on the ISM Manufacturing PMI (E: 48.3) and the key here is stability. An in-line or better than expected result will further reinforce that growth is resilient and likely support the early rally. There’s also one Fed speaker, Cook at 6:50 p.m. ET, but her comments come after the close.
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