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Has The S&P 500 Index Moved Too Far, Too Fast?

US Stocks Advance On Ceasefire Optimism As Earnings Continue, Nasdaq Logs Longest Winning Streak Since 2017

“The S&P 500’s sharp rally off the late-March lows has been nothing short of impressive, but has the index moved too far, too fast?” Sevens Report founder Tom Essaye wrote on Thursday, noting a drop-off in trading volumes.

Also, click here to view the full article on NDTVProfit.com published on April 17th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.


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Tom Essaye Warns Rally Lacks Confirmation From Key Markets

Tom Essaye says stocks may be moving too fast without support from bonds and oil.


U.S. stocks may be moving past the Iran conflict — but these markets aren’t sending the ‘all clear’ just yet

That could be a sign that investors should think twice before chasing the rally in stocks, said Tom Essaye, publisher of Sevens Report Research, in commentary shared with MarketWatch.

“While we are happy stocks have rebounded, this furious 10-day rally has not been confirmed by other asset classes, most notably Treasury yields and oil prices, and we do think that nonconfirmation should give some stock investors cause for pause,” Essaye said.

“If the oil markets were as confident about a lasting detente between the U.S. and Iran, oil prices would be solidly lower,” Essaye said in written commentary. He also pointed out that the 2-year Treasury yield is still well above its prewar level, signaling that bond traders aren’t as confident that the Fed will cut interest rates later in the year.

“Now, to be clear, this nonconfirmation does not automatically mean that stocks are ‘wrong’ and oil/Treasurys are ‘right.’ Treasury yields could fall sharply in the coming days to confirm the move in stocks and oil could plunge on any announcement of a more permanent ceasefire,” Essaye added.

“However, it does show us that not all traders and strategists are viewing the impacts of the war as being so ‘transitory’ as the move in stocks implies.”

Also, click here to view the full article published in MarketWatch on April 15th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.


If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.


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Tom Essaye Quoted in Analytics Insight

US Stock Market Today: Wall Street Eyes Strongest Week Since May on CPI Data and US-Iran Ceasefire Hopes

Tom Essaye of Sevens Report wrote, “As long as the face-to-face meeting Saturday morning isn’t cancelled, geopolitics shouldn’t weigh on markets too much.” Still, economists warned that one or two more strong inflation readings may follow if energy costs stay elevated in the near term.

Also, click here to view the full article on Analyticsinsight.net published on April 10th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.


If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.


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Sevens Report Research’s Tom Essaye Reacts to Dimon’s Comments

Tom Essaye reacts to Dimon’s comments and current forecasts on the Fed’s rate position with Yahoo Finance


Could sticky inflation really drive the Fed to raise rates?

In his annual letter to shareholders, JPMorgan Chase chairman and CEO Jamie Dimon warned investors of several risks to the US economy tied to the Iran war, credit markets, and stickier inflation that could push the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates.

Sevens Report Research founder Tom Essaye and Yahoo Finance Senior Reporters Brooke DiPalma and Ines Ferré react to Dimon’s comments and current forecasts on the Fed’s rate position.

Also, click here to view the full video published on Yahoo Finance on April 6th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.


If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

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Sevens Report Research Founder Tom Essaye Reacts To JPMorgan’s Forecast

Tom Essaye reacts to JPMorgan’s latest note with Yahoo Finance


JPMorgan warns Tesla stock could sink 60% in new note. Here’s why.

Yahoo Finance Senior Reporter Ines Ferré breaks down the note from the JPMorgan team, while Sevens Report Research founder Tom Essaye reacts to this forecast.

Also, click here to view the full video published on Yahoo Finance on April 6th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.


If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.


Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Geopolitical Headlines Will Remain The Primary Focus Says Tom Essaye

Geopolitical headlines will remain the primary market focus


S&P 500 Gains on Hopes for Iran Peace Talks

“Today, geopolitical headlines will remain the primary market focus and any signs that a ceasefire deal is likely to be agreed upon between the U.S. and Iran has the potential to spark a continued relief rally, extending last week’s gains in equity markets,” Sevens Report Research’s Tom Essaye writes.

Also, click here to view the full article published in Barron’s on April 6th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.


If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.


Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Sevens Report: IGV Weakness Raises Tech Market Concerns

Tom Essaye warns lack of rebound in software ETF is a caution signal


IGV: If this Software ETF Can’t Rally, be Wary of Trading Tech Stocks

Fears that AI could have broader economic consequences weighed on software stocks in Q1, and that pressure remains evident in the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV). The fund has not staged a meaningful rebound and continues to trade only modestly above its 2026 low, observes Tom Essaye, president of the Sevens Report Research.

Geopolitical tensions, including the Iran conflict, recently drove defensive flows into mega-cap tech. While that rotation supported broader indices, IGV did not participate and remains below recent highs.

Fundamentals have not materially deteriorated. AI concerns have not intensified, and recent software earnings were generally stable. However, the absence of upside momentum is notable.

A break below the February low would be a negative technical signal for tech and could weigh on the broader market. Even with potential geopolitical easing, AI uncertainty and private credit risks remain unresolved headwinds.

Also, click here to view the full article on Moneyshow.com published on March 27th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.


If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.


Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Sevens Report: AI Optimism Is Giving Way to Existential Fears

Tom Essaye says investors now worry AI could undermine entire business models.


Big Moves Have Rocked Stocks. There Might Be More to Come.

Yet “now investors fear it’ll go too far,” as Sevens Report President Tom Essaye writes. “Put simply, the concern now is that AI will boost productivity so much that it won’t just lead to reduced head count, it will lead to the elimination of the entire company and business!”

“AI spending is damaging the financial footing of the biggest tech companies in the markets and with no end to the spending in sight, this is making investors nervous that free cash flow from these companies will be depressed for years, all on the massive bet that AI is widely and aggressively adopted by the population,” writes Essaye. And don’t forget the rapidly growing Chinese competition.

Also, click here to view the full article published in Barron’s on February 25th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.


If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.


Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Sevens Report: Small-Cap Rally May Accelerate in 2026

Tyler Richey says improving macro trends could fuel further gains in smaller stocks.


Most and least shorted REIT stocks with up to $2B market cap as of mid-Feb

Small-cap stocks are off to a strong start in 2026, significantly outperforming large-cap benchmarks. While the S&P 500 has hovered slightly in negative territory year to date, small-cap indexes have posted solid gains, reflecting renewed investor appetite for risk.

According to Tyler Richey, co-editor at Sevens Report Research, the rally in smaller companies could intensify as the year progresses. With inflation trending lower, interest-rate cuts looming, and economic conditions remaining relatively stable, the macro backdrop appears increasingly supportive for small caps.

Improving financial conditions tend to benefit smaller firms disproportionately, as they are often more sensitive to borrowing costs and domestic economic growth. If expectations for monetary easing materialize, that could further strengthen the rotation into the segment.

As positioning shifts and macro conditions evolve, Sevens Report suggests small caps could remain an area of focus for investors seeking performance beyond mega-cap stocks.

Also, click here to view the full article published in Seeking Alpha on February 16th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.


If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

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Sevens Report’s Essaye Warns Tech Investors on AI Uncertainty

Tom Essaye says skepticism around the AI boom is rising and weakness shouldn’t be dismissed.


Tech Investors Urged to Exercise Caution

Sevens Report President Tom Essaye is cautioning technology investors as uncertainty builds around the sustainability of the artificial intelligence-driven rally that has defined the past three years.

While Essaye notes the Nasdaq has not yet fallen enough to threaten the broader market, he argues that skepticism surrounding AI is reaching levels not seen during this bull cycle. He warns against brushing off recent weakness as a routine pullback, saying there are legitimate questions emerging about whether the boom can maintain its current trajectory.

Those concerns were amplified after Cisco Systems signaled potential margin pressure tied to ongoing memory-chip shortages, sending its shares sharply lower. The reaction highlights how sensitive investors have become to signs that elevated spending and supply constraints could weigh on profitability.

In a recent note, Essaye outlined several key risks: whether companies can sustain heavy AI-related capital expenditures, how long investors will tolerate delayed earnings payoffs, whether AI could cannibalize existing tech segments, and whether infrastructure constraints — particularly around data centers — may limit growth.

Given this backdrop, Essaye suggests investors consider diversifying beyond mega-cap technology names. As volatility increases and skepticism grows, the once-dominant AI trade may face a more challenging environment than it has at any point in the current bull market.

Also, click here to view the full article published on Finance News Network on February 13th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.


If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.


Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.