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Jobs Report Preview

What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Jobs Report Preview
  • Why Surging EU HICP Matters to Us
  • EIA Analysis and Oil Market Update

Futures are sharply lower following a big earnings miss by Facebook (FB was down 20% after hours).

FB posted disappointing margins and guidance and the steep decline in the stock is pulling futures lower.

EU and UK Composite PMIs were mixed as the EU reading slightly missed while the UK PMI beat estimates, although neither number is moving markets.

Today will be a busy day.  First, we get two central bank announcements (BOE at 7:00 a.m. and ECB at 7:45 a.m.).  The BOE is expected to hike rates 25 basis points and while there’s no change expected to ECB policy if Lagarde is hawkish at her press conference that will add to the earnings-inspired declines.

We also get some notable economic data, including the ISM Services PMI (E: 59.9), Jobless Claims (E: 250K), and Productivity and Costs (E: 2.4%, 1.7%) and as has been the case, markets will crave stability to ward off stagflation fears.

Finally, on the earnings front, AMZN ($3.88) after the close is the big report today.  Of the super cap tech stocks, we’re had some good reports (AAPL/MSFT/GOOGL) and some bad reports (NFLX/FB), and markets need AMZN to land in the former.  Beyond AMZN, some other reports we’ll be watching include: MRK ($1.52), LLY ($2.51), COP ($2.20), HON ($2.08),  SNAP ($0.10), and F ($0.43).