Yahoo Finance Executive Editor Discusses IBM Earnings With Tom Essaye

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IBM set to have its worst day since 1961

Yahoo Finance Executive Editor Brian Sozzi and his Opening Bid panel featuring guests: Globalt Investments senior portfolio manager Thomas Martin, Sevens Report Research founder Tom Essaye, and Yahoo Finance Senior Business Reporter Brooke DiPalma break down IBM’s (IBM) worse-than-expected quarterly results and what they signal for the company’s future as the stock tumbles nearly 25% in today’s session.

Also, click here to view the full video published on Yahoo Finance on July 14th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

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Are Bad IBM Earnings a Warning for Broader Tech?

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Are Bad IBM Earnings a Warning for Broader Tech?
  • Takeaways From the “Cool” June CPI Report

Futures are tentatively higher with tech stocks leading thanks to strong quarterly earnings from AI-sensitive ASML (a major global producer of chip-making components) overnight, rekindling a sense of AI-enthusiasm while geopolitical uncertainty continues to simmer.

Economically, Chinese data was mixed as Retail Sales and Industrial Production beat, but GDP and Fixed Asset Investment missed, sending mixed signals about Chinese growth.

Looking into today’s session, the second critical inflation report of the week is due out before the open: PPI (E: -0.1% m/m, 6.2% y/y) as is the Empire State Manufacturing Survey (8.6). Investors will be looking for more signs of cooling inflation and stability in the manufacturing sector in order for stocks to continue higher today.

Additionally, there are a handful of Fed speakers today including: Williams (8:45 a.m. ET), Warsh (10:00 a.m. ET), Cook (1:00 p.m. ET), and Musalem (6:30 p.m. ET). focus will be on Warsh who will continue with his semi-annual Congressional testimony on Capitol Hill today (the less-hawkish, the better for stocks).

Finally, earnings season continues to get underway today with JNJ ($2.85), PGR ($4.58), BLK ($12.72), MS ($2.89), UAL ($1.89), and JBHT ($1.71) all due to deliver quarterly results over the course of the day. Earnings expectations are high leaving limited room for disappointment.

 

Tom Essaye chats with Yahoo Finance Executive Editor Brian Sozzi

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I think that this is a very smart move by Meta, Says Tom Essaye

Is Meta’s recent rally sustainable?

Sevens Report Research founder Tom Essaye chats with Yahoo Finance Executive Editor Brian Sozzi about Meta’s latest stock moves and what that may signal about its sustainability.

So essentially kind of the bullish catalyst was AI deciding to lease out a lot of their processing power and compute to all this AI demand. So here we go. We’re sort of leveraging on the AI data center demand craziness even more. And don’t get me wrong, people are paying for a premium and I think that this is a very smart move by Meta.

But I don’t view this as sort of a this isn’t a sustainable turn for them. This is them just looking around saying, okay, what can we make money on and we have capacity here and let’s lease it out while demand is sky high. Shrewd move in the short term. I think it is created a decent size bump in the stock obviously, and the chart is looking better, but for me it’s going to be about earnings, it’s going to be about their CapEx number, what’s happening with free cash flow, and what is their guidance on how we turn all of this into real money sooner than later.

Also, click here to view the full video published on Yahoo Finance on July 14th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Evolution of the AI Trade: ROCs, SOCs and SaaS

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Evolution of the AI Trade: ROCs, SOCs and SaaS

Futures are flat and bonds are steady despite a continued rise in oil prices amid ongoing geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran with focus on control of Hormuz.

Economically, the NFIB Small Business Optimism Survey firmed to 97.4 vs. (E) 95.6 in June.

Today is a busy and important day of data, Fed speak and earnings.

The key economic report today is CPI and expectations are as follows: -0.1% m/m, 3.8% y/y, Core CPI (E: 0.2% m/m, 2.9% y/y).  Put simply, an in-line to better than expected number should pressure yields and help stocks while a “hot” number will push the 10-year yield towards a new YTD high (and pressure stocks).

On the Fed front, the key event is Chair Warsh (10:00 a.m. ET) but there are several other speakers including Barr (12:40 p.m. ET), Goolsbee (1:00 p.m. ET), Cook (1:30 p.m. ET) and Bowman (2:55 p.m. ET).  The less concerned they are about inflation, the better (especially Warsh).

Finally, on earnings, the banks kick off the Q2 reporting season and key reports today include: JPM ($5.52), GS ($14.47), BAC ($1.13), C ($2.72), WFC ($1.73).

 

Sevens Report Analyst Quoted by ABC News

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Why did the stock market soar in the first half of 2026? Experts explain

“The Magnificent Seven was all the craze in 2024 and 2025. Now it’s sluggish,” Tyler Richey, an analyst at Sevens Report Research, told ABC News. “You’ve got leadership in other corners of tech, especially chipmakers.”

“Dovish expectations of a rate cut this year were a narrative in the first half of 2026. Now an interest rate hike is being priced in. There’s more risk and less fundamental support from the Fed,” Richey said.

Still, Richey acknowledged a large degree of uncertainty.

“It has been extremely challenging to time this market,” Richey added.

Also, click here to view the full article on Abcnews.com published on June 30th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Three Tests for the Rally This Week

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Three Tests for the Rally This Week
  • Weekly Market Preview: A Critical Week for Inflation, AI and the Fed
  • Weekly Economic Cheat Sheet: Inflation in Focus (and the Numbers Need to be Good)

Futures are modestly lower on rising geopolitical tensions after escalation of the U.S./Iran conflict over the weekend.

Iran attacked another commercial ship transiting the Strait of Hormuz prompting some of the most intense attacks from the U.S. since the start of the conflict.

Despite the escalation, however, oil is up a modest 3% and markets still believe both sides seek a ceasefire (which is why the markets aren’t down more on the news).

This is a busy week of data and earnings, but it starts slowly as there are no notable economic reports today and just two Fed speakers (Bowman (5:25 a.m. ET) and Waller (12:30 p.m. ET)) and they shouldn’t move markets.  Instead, focus will be on geopolitics and any reports of ceasefire progress will help stocks bounce.

 

Monthly Bitcoin/Crypto Market Updates

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Monthly Bitcoin/Crypto Market Updates

Futures are little changed following a quiet night of news as efforts are underway to restore the U.S./Iran ceasefire.

There were no direct U.S. attacks on Iran overnight and U.S. officials said the two sides were still working on re-establishing a ceasefire.

Economically, German HICP (their CPI) was the only notable report and it met expectations at 2.4% y/y.

Today focus will stay on geopolitics and any progress on reestablishing the U.S./Iran ceasefire will pressure oil and should help boost stocks.  From an economic standpoint, today is quiet but next week is not, as next week has the potential to impact markets in numerous ways (economic data, inflation and earnings).  More on that in Monday’s Report.

 

Is More U.S/Iran Fighting a Real Negative for this Market?

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Is More U.S/Iran Fighting a Real Negative for this Market?

Futures are slightly higher on reduced geopolitical fears despite another round of U.S. strikes on Iran overnight.

Early on Thursday President Trump stated Iran “called and wants to make a deal” and that’s again boosting ceasefire hopes.

Economically, the only notable report was Chinese CPI which was better than expectations (1.0% vs. (E) 1.2%).

Today focus will remain on geopolitics (any signs of further de-escalation will be generally positive) but there are also notable economic reports and some Fed speak.  Economically, Jobless Claims (E: 219K) are the highlight and the lower, the better.  We also get Existing Home Sales (E: 4.20 million) but that shouldn’t move markets.

Turning to the Fed, there are two speakers today of which Williams (9:00 a.m. ET) is the most important and if he pushes back against rate hikes, that will be a market positive. Logan (1:30 p.m. ET) also speaks but she’s unlikely to move markets.

 

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July MMT Levels: S&P 500 Chart

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • July MMT Levels: S&P 500 Chart
  • NY Fed Inflation Expectations (slight hawkish surprise)

Markets are risk-off as equity futures track global shares lower amid a surge in oil prices and rising bond yields on the back of fresh U.S. military strikes against Iran while President Trump deemed the ceasefire a “waste of time.”

There were no market moving economic reports overnight which left market focus on the renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

Today, there is limited U.S. economic data with just the May Consumer Credit release (E: $17.5B) due out in the afternoon.

The Treasury will hold a 4-Month Bill auction at 11:30 a.m. ET and a 10-Yr Note auction at 1:00 p.m. ET and it will be important for demand to hold strong (like we saw yesterday with the 52-Week Bill auction) to help steady the bond market and ultimately set stocks up to rebound.

In addition to Consumer Credit, trader focus will be on the June FOMC Meeting Minutes due out at 2:00 p.m. ET as the market looks for potential clues as to when the Fed plans to raise rates this year.

Finally, there are a pair of earnings releases today with HELE (-$0.13) and LEVI ($0.24) reporting quarterly results, but with the Fed Minutes and geopolitical escalations, neither should materially move markets.

 

July Market Multiple Table

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • July Market Multiple Table: Expected Earnings Growth Supports the Markets, But Valuations Still Stretched
  • ISM Services PMI Takeaways

Futures are lower amid renewed selling pressure in global tech/semiconductor stocks following reports that Iran attacked another cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz overnight which is rekindling geopolitical worries this morning.

Economically, German Industrial Production was strong, rising 0.9% vs. (E) 0.1% in May adding additional upside pressure to global bond yields.

Today, there is one economic report to watch: International Trade in Goods (E: $-78.7B) while no Fed officials are scheduled to speak.

There are no notable earnings releases today, leaving focus on the global tech selloff and bond yields with the Treasury set to hold a 52-Week Bill auction at 11:30 a.m. ET and a 3-Yr Note auction at 1:00 p.m. ET (the lower yields move the better for stocks).