Does this Cyclical Rotation Have Legs?
What’s in Today’s Report:
- Does this Cyclical Rotation Have Legs?
- Factory Orders Data Takeaways
- Dr. Copper Update
U.S. stock futures are higher this morning and global stocks rallied overnight thanks to more positive trade headlines and mostly “Goldilocks” economic data overseas.
The Financial Times was the first to report the Trump administration is considering rolling back $112B worth of tariffs that went into effect on September 1st which would be a significant concession and first sign of real progress towards a “phase one” deal being reached.
Economically, the first composite PMI reports were released overseas and both the Chinese and British figures firmed in October, further easing concerns about the health of the global economy.
Today, there are several economic reports due to be released: International Trade (E: $52.5B), ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (E: 53.5), and JOLTS (Previous: 7.051M, while two Fed officials are scheduled to speak: Kaplan (12:40 p.m. ET) and Kashkari (6:00 p.m. ET).
Beyond the data and Fed speakers, focus will be primarily on the trade war as investors look for further insight to whether or not the Trump Administration will move forward with tariff rollbacks and delays as was reported overnight. Any confirmation would be well-received and see stocks extend this recent squeeze higher towards 3,100 in the S&P.
