Transports low - a warning from dow theory

Why Markets Are Dropping Again

What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Why Markets Are Dropping Again (And Why We Don’t Think It’s a Bearish Gamechanger)
  • What Needs to Happen in the Short Term for Markets to Stabilize
  • Jobs Report Preview
  • Bond Market Analysis (Yield Curve)

Futures are sharply lower as the arrest of the Huawei CFO in Canada has added to uncertainty on U.S./China trade, while oil is down sharply due to OPEC disappointment.

Huawei (Huawei is a giant Chinese telecom company) CFO Meng Wanzhou was arrested in Canada overnight and that is perceived as potentially complicating U.S./China trade.

Further adding to the downward pressure in markets is a 3% drop in oil, as Saudi Arabia proposed a 1 million barrel production cut, less than the 1.3 million barrel expectation.

Focus today will be on geo-political headlines, specifically any further reaction to the Huawei CFO arrest and anything that minimizes the situation will help stocks.

Away from geo-politics, we get several important economic reports including:  ADP Employment Report (E: 175K), Jobless Claims (E: 225K), Productivity and Costs (E: 2.3%, 1.1%) and ISM Non-Manufacturing index (E: 59.0).  But, even if the reports are all “Goldilocks” today’s price action will still be driven by geo-political headlines and, to a lesser extent, oil (it needs to stabilize).