Why Did Cyclicals Outperform?

What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Why Did Cyclicals Outperform?

Stock futures are little changed this morning after a quiet night of news as markets look ahead to key economic data in the U.S. and the latest commentary from Fed leadership.

Economically, Composite PMI data overseas largely met estimates and therefore did not materially impact markets.

Looking into today’s session, focus will be on the ADP Employment Report (E: 715K) which is due out at 8:15 a.m. ET as investors look for the latest insights to U.S. labor market trends (important for Fed policy) and then the ISM Services Index (E: 60.4) which will hit shortly after the open (important regarding the health of the broader economic recovery).

Attention will then turn to Fed Vice Chair Clarida’s speech at 10:00 a.m. ET in which the market will be looking for further reiteration that the labor market has a ways to go before any policy changes will occur (so basically just repeating Powell’s recent comments). Any hawkish surprises could result in a spike in yields and pullback in stocks as policy expectations are very dovish right now.

Finally, earnings season continues with: CVS ($2.07), GM ($1.89), RCL (-$4.26), and KHC ($6.54) reporting before the bell while ROKU ($0.13), UBER (-$0.53), and EA ($1.28) will release Q2 results after the close.