What Caused Last Week’s Rally (And Can It Continue?)

What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Justification For Last Week’s Rally?
  • Market Internals – Not As Strong As You’d Think
  • Weekly Market Preview
  • Weekly Economic Cheat Sheet

Futures are only slightly lower despite disappointing U.S./China trade headlines over the weekend and more underwhelming global economic data.

The South China Morning Post reported that a Trump/Xi trade summit (to end the trade war) might not happen until June, later than the current April expectation, as talks on key issues continue to drag out.

Global economic data remained underwhelming as Japanese exports missed expectations, falling –1.2% vs. (E) 0.7%.

Today there is only one economic report, Housing Market Index (E: 63.0), and no Fed speakers (they’re in the blackout period ahead of Wednesday’s meeting) so unless we get a surprise U.S./China trade headline (and chatter there seems to be rising following the weekend) I’d expect digestion of last week’s big rally.