stock market update

Updated Market Outlook (Fundamental & Technical)

What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Updated Market Outlook (Medium/Longer Term Risk/Reward Attractive As Long As Growth Remains Solid)
  • Updated Technical Outlook
  • Weekly Economic Cheat Sheet (Inflation Metrics)

Futures are enjoying a modest oversold bounce following Friday’s drop.

The weekend was generally quiet although sentiment towards Italy is a bit better after S&P did not downgrade the country’s credit rating.

Economically, Japanese Retail Sales beat estimates (2.1% vs. (E) 1.7%) but that report isn’t moving markets.

There are no notable earnings reports today so focus will be on the Core PCE Price Index (E: 0.1% m/m, 1.9% y/y) which is contained in the Personal Income and Outlays Report.  This market does not need suddenly “hot” inflation numbers that will make the Fed more hawkish.  So, if the Core PCE Price Index prints in-line, that should help fuel today’s early rally.  Finally, there is also one Fed speaker:   Evans (9:45 a.m. ET).