“We are now witnessing the biggest game of ‘Chicken’ between the Fed (who says rates are going to above 5%) and the market (who thinks the Fed cuts rates at least twice this year) that I’ve ever seen,” said Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report Research, in a Tuesday newsletter. Click here to read the full article.
“A sustained break above the 200-day moving average would imply that investors are becoming fundamentally more optimistic about the market. That would require real progress toward the Fed actually stopping its rate-hike campaign. Or progress toward the economy actually achieving a soft landing. Or progress toward inflation falling somewhere that is reasonably more acceptable to the Fed,” said Tom Essaye, founder of the Sevens Report. Click here to read the full article.
“Specifically, despite skyrocketing cases and reports of stressed hospitals, Chinese authorities are not locking down cities and that implies continued increases in energy demand as the world’s second largest economy comes back online,” said analysts at Sevens Report Research, in a note. Click here to read the full article.
Oil traded lower into the weekend, but the pace of declines “slowed as WTI approached technical support between $70 and $72,” said analysts at Sevens Report Research in Monday’s newsletter. Click here to read the full article.
The report “pointed to some further deterioration in consumer demand as we approach the end of the year,” Tyler Richey, co-editor at Sevens Report Research wrote in Thursday’s newsletter. Click here to read the full article.
Tuesday’s “geopolitical fear bid, related to the initially unidentified missiles hitting Poland, is unwinding as details emerge that suggest the projectiles did not actually originate in Russia after all,” Tyler Richey, co-editor at Sevens Report Research, told MarketWatch. Click here to read the full article.
“Stagflationary economic data, rising COVID cases in China, and hawkish [Federal Reserve] chatter have all been added headwinds on the oil market today,” said Tyler Richey, co-editor at Sevens Report Research. Click here to read the full article.
“Looking at the curve, the 10s-2s yield curve spread remained near a multidecade low of nearly minus-80 basis points. That deep of an inversion suggests that the Fed’s current policy and expected path of future policy are far too restrictive for the state of the economy and growth expectations, which will almost certainly end in a recession — and potentially a severe one given the scope of the current inversions across the Treasury yield curve,” said Tom Essaye, editor of Sevens Report Research, in a note. Click here to read the full article.
“The lack of a concrete timeline or any real details about plans to reopen the Chinese economy and move away from the still very strict and economically crippling restrictions weighed on the energy market into the afternoon,” wrote analysts at Sevens Report Research. Click here to read the full article.
“The negative China headlines and soft U.S. economic data were demand-side negatives for oil. However, hopes for peak-hawkishness bolstered risk assets” analysts at Sevens Report Research wrote in a Tuesday newsletter. Click here to read the full article.
