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What’s Next from a Policy Standpoint

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • What’s Next from a Policy Standpoint
  • Monthly Bitcoin Update

Futures are moderately higher on continued positive momentum from the “deal” announced on Greenland by President Trump on Wednesday afternoon.

There were no new geopolitical headlines overnight and that’s allowing stocks to extend the rebound as markets celebrate no new tariffs and deescalation on Greenland. Today markets will want to see no backtracking on the Greenland “deal” and continued calm in JGB yields and if we get both, stocks should hold these early gains.

Looking at the calendar, there is some notable economic data via Jobless Claims (E: 205K) and two delayed reports from the government shutdown: Final Q3 GDP (E: 4.3%) and Nov. Core PCE Price Inde (E: 0.2% m/m, 2.8% y/y).  However, barring a major surprise, none of those numbers should move markets.

On earnings, they’ve taken a back seat given all the geo-political drama but the season is heating up and some results we’re watching today include: PG ($1.87), GE ($1.44), FCX ($0.28), INTC (-$0.02), ABT ($1.50), ISRG ($1.83), COF ($4.12), AA ($0.84).

 

What Greenland Headlines Mean for Markets

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • What the Greenland Headlines Mean for Markets
  • Weekly Economic Outlook – Core PCE in Focus

Global markets are “risk-off” thanks to geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Europe surrounding Greenland and a sharp rise in bond yields due to Japanese fiscal worries.

Economically, Germany’s ZEW Survey topped estimates with Economic Sentiment firming to 59.6 vs. (E) 50.0 but the data is being overshadowed by the sharp rise in JGB yields and geopolitical turmoil.

There are no economic reports today, however, the Treasury will hold auctions for 3-Month and 6-Month Bills at 11:30 a.m.

ET and 6-Week and 52-Week Bills at 1:00 p.m. ET. Strong demand (dovish) should help stocks stabilize as we start the week.

There are no Fed officials scheduled to speak today which will leave traders watching earnings closely with FITB ($1.01), MMM ($1.82), DHI ($1.96), USB ($1.19), NFLX ($0.55), IBKR ($0.51), and UAL ($2.98) all reporting Q4 results today.