What’s in Today’s Report:
- Short and Long Term Implications of the Fed’s “Hawkish” Decision
- The sector winners (and the biggest loser) after the Fed decision
- Oil/Energy market update
Futures are bouncing marginally as markets digest the Fed’s “hawkish cut” rate decision.
Economic data overnight was not as bad as feared, although it wasn’t good, either. EU (46.5 vs. (E) 46.4), British (48.0 vs. (E) 47.7) and Chinese (49.9 vs. (E) 49.5) July manufacturing PMIs all beat estimates, although they also remain below 50, signaling contraction.
Today we have an important economic report, ISM Manufacturing Index (E: 51.9) and we also get weekly Jobless Claims (E: 213K), and those numbers (especially the former) could move markets. But, beyond the data, and following the Fed’s “hawkish” decision, the keys to focus on will be the U.S. Dollar and the Treasury yield curve. If the dollar continues to grind higher and the yield curve flattens, that will be another headwind on stocks. Yesterday’s lows in the S&P 500 at 2959 are an important support level to watch if this market rolls over mid-day.