What’s in Today’s Report:
- How to Allocate to Commodities
Stock futures are under pressure for the third day in a row this morning as inflation fears continue to grip global markets ahead of today’s key April CPI report in the U.S.
Economically, Eurozone Industrial Production missed expectations while both the U.K. Monthly GDP and Industrial Production reports handily topped estimates which is helping the FTSE buck the trend and rally today.
Looking into today’s session, all eyes will be on the April CPI report due out at 8:30 a.m. ET (E: 0.2% m/m, 3.6% y/y). A hot print could spook investors and cause a continuation of the early week’s risk-off money flows.
Later in the session, there are multiple Fed speakers including: Clarida (9:00 a.m. ET), Bostic (1:00 p.m. ET), and Harker (1:30 p.m. ET) however Fed speak has remained decidedly dovish and none of today’s speakers should move markets.
Finally, there is a 10-Yr Treasury Note Auction at 1:00 p.m. ET and the outcome could give investors an idea of how bond traders view inflation in the wake of the CPI report.
Ultimately a soft bond auction and a subsequent rise in yields would likely compound this week’s already elevated inflation concerns and cause more volatility in equity markets while a strong auction could ease those concerns and see a relief rally develop.
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