What’s in Today’s Report:
- Has the Fed Reached Peak Hawkishness?
- Weekly Market Preview: Will Powell Sound Hawkish on Tuesday?
- Weekly Economic Cheat Sheet: Key inflation data Tuesday and Friday.
Futures are moderately lower mostly on follow-through selling from Friday’s hot jobs report.
The Chinese spy balloon drama dominated weekend headlines but it’s unlikely to materially alter U.S./China relations and as such shouldn’t be an influence on markets.
Rate expectations rose over the weekend following Friday’s jobs report, with markets now pricing in a terminal Fed Funds rate of 4.75% and that’s the main reason stocks are lower this morning.
Today there are no notable economic reports and no Fed speakers, so the focus will remain on yields and rate expectations and if they continue to climb, that will weigh on stocks.