Are Lockdowns Starting to Outweigh Vaccine Optimism?

What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Are Lockdowns Starting to Outweigh Vaccine Optimism?
  • EIA and Oil Outlook (Updated)
  • Why Are Treasury Auctions Suddenly Going Badly?  (And What It Could Mean for Markets)

Futures are modestly lower on momentum from Wednesday’s COVID/lockdown related late day fade.

Negative COVID headlines/increased economic lockdowns (especially in NYC and LA County) are starting to offset vaccine optimism, and that’s weighing on stocks.

Economic data was sparse overnight, but Australian Unemployment met expectations, as did UK Industrial Trends.

Today, with lockdowns increasing and near term economic anxiety rising, Jobless Claims (E: 710K) and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (E: 24.5) will be two important reports, and markets will want to see stability in both to show the economic recovery is not losing momentum.  If those two readings are weak, expect more selling.

We also get Existing Home Sales (E: 6.47M) and there are two Fed speakers, Mester (8:30 a.m. ET) and Bowman (12:35 p.m. ET), but none of that should move markets.