Now, whether the market is poised to fall another 10% from this new resistance level (which would be down towards the 3,400 area) remains to be seen and a squeezy leg higher is still a very good possibility… Tom Essaye said. Click here to read the full article.
Since the beginning of last week, 3,800 has become a new ceiling for the S&P 500 as sellers have repeatedly stepped in and overwhelmed the tentative, weakhanded bids…said Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report Research, in a Thursday note. Click here to read the full article.
What’s in Today’s Report:
Stock futures are solidly higher this morning, rebounding from last week’s more than 5% selloff while global markets stabilized following a mostly quiet weekend.
President Biden and St. Louis Fed President, Jim Bullard, both downplayed the threat of a severe recession on Monday which is helping drive risk-on money flows this morning while there were no market-moving economic reports overnight.
From a catalyst standpoint, there is just one economic report today: Existing Home Sales (E: 5.40M) and two Fed officials are scheduled to speak: Mester (12:00 p.m. ET) and Barkin (3:30 p.m. ET).
Bottom line, for this morning’s relief rally to continue today the market will need to see stable price action in bond markets, economic data meet or beat expectations and Fed officials to maintain an optimistic tone as that could see the S&P 500 test near term resistance between 3,780 and 3,840.
This is exactly what the Fed wants, The question is how quickly do we lose momentum and a slowing of growth becomes an outright contraction…said Tom Essaye, president of Sevens Report Research, of the slower momentum in manufacturing. Click here to read the full article.
We need to see more proof those Keys to the Bottom are becoming more likely for stocks to move materially higher from here…wrote Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report Research. Click here to read the full article.
Since those lows near 3,800 in the S&P 500 there has been real progress: China is reopening and hopefully the economy will be close to operating at near-full capacity within a month. That will add a large tail-wind to the global economy, and perhaps most importantly, ease supply chain stress…Tom Essaye of the Sevens Report said in a note. Click here to read the full article.
Tom Essaye of the Sevens Report noted that “very strong data would incur more Fed hawkishness while really soft data would spike stagflation concerns — and ‘moderating’ was just what we got from the ADP jobs report.” Click here to read the full article.
Numbers this strong would likely reverse any hopes the Fed would consider a pause in rate hikes after the June/July increases because it would signal the labor market remains very tight…Tom Essaye of the Sevens Report told CNBC. Click here to read the full article.
Numbers this strong would likely reverse any hopes the Fed would consider a pause in rate hikes after the June/July increases, because it would signal the labor market remains very tight…Tom Essaye of the Sevens Report said. Click here to read the full article.
What’s in Today’s Report:
Futures are solidly higher thanks to positive news from China.
The economic reopening in China progressed over the weekend as COVID cases continued to decline, authorities relaxed more restrictions in Beijing, and none of the fifty largest cities in China have intense restrictions in place.
Also in China, the WSJ reported authorities may soon end their probe into Didi, and that might also signal an end to the government crackdown on Chinese tech stocks (if so that’d be a major positive for Chinese tech names and a peripheral positive for tech stocks more broadly).
Today there are no notable economic reports or Fed speakers, so it should be a generally quiet day of news. Across the pond, UK Prime Minister Johnson faces a “no confidence” vote in Parliament, but he’s expected to survive it (if he doesn’t, that could be a surprise negative for stocks today but again that is unlikely).