“The oil market is sending a bold warning that economic growth may not recover nearly as quickly as some equity investors would hope…” wrote Tom Essaye, president of the Sevens Report, in a Tuesday note to clients. Click here to read the full article.
Despite the drop in active rigs, the EIA on Wednesday showed domestic oil production “perfectly unchanged” at 12.2 million barrels per day, “relative to the corresponding week in 2019…” said Tyler Richey, co-editor at Sevens Report Research. Click here to read the full article.
“The historic drop by front month oil futures was largely due to logistical issues in the physical market, namely lack of available storage, paired with futures expiration looming…” wrote Tom Essaye, founder of The Sevens Report. Click here to read the full article.
“Despite the efforts by global oil producers to curb production in order to balance the market over the last week, the world is still facing a massive demand issue,” Tyler Richey at Sevens Report Research told MarketWatch. “Until we see consumption of refined products…” Click here to read the full article.
What’s in Today’s Report:
U.S. stock futures are hanging on to modest gains while international markets were mixed overnight as global equities are poised to close out their worst quarter since 2008.
The growth rate of new COVID-19 cases in the U.S. encouragingly slowed to a one month low of just 13% yesterday.
Economically, data out of China, Japan, and the EU was all better-than-feared, helping drive the tentative risk on money flows this morning.
Today, there are two economic reports to watch: S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller HPI (E: 0.4%) and Consumer Confidence (E: 111.0) while no Fed officials are scheduled to speak.
The Consumer Confidence report could move markets in early trade however investor focus will largely remain on the coronavirus outbreak statistics and ongoing government response to the pandemic while end of quarter book squaring could lead to an uptick in volatility over the course of the day. Near term momentum continues to favor the bulls though and the path of least resistance remains higher right now as the relief rally continues.
“Looking ahead, the path of least resistance is decidedly lower right now and the lower-for-longer dynamic appears to be one that…” Tom Essaye, co-founder of The Sevens Report, said Wednesday. Click here to read the full article.
“Oil is the only market that is more volatile than stocks right now, as futures traders continue to digest the implications of the new price war…” said Tyler Richey, co-editor at Sevens Report Research. Click here to read the full article.
Tuesday’s rebound for oil is “relatively modest” compared to Monday’s plunge, said Tyler Richey, co-editor at Sevens Report Research. “We could easily see a retracement higher in prices in the days and weeks ahead…” Click here to read the full article.
Tom Essaye interviewed with Oliver Renick from TD Ameritrade to discuss the market, oil, coronavirus, and much more. Click here to watch the full interview.
OPEC’s recommendation for the 1.5 million barrel per day cut was “a bullish surprise versus expectations on the surface, however, Russia was not willing to participate in the…” which total 500,000 barrel per day, said Tyler Richey, co-editor of Sevens Report Research. Click here to read the full article.
