What’s in Today’s Report:
- Why Didn’t NVDA Earnings Spark A Rally?
Futures are bouncing modestly following a quiet night of news and as investors look ahead to Powell’s speech later this morning.
EU economic data was soft again overnight, as German IFO Business Expectations missed estimates (82.6 vs. (E) 83.6) and added to the list of disappointing economic reports this week.
Today focus will be on Powell’s speech (10:00 a.m. ET) and if Powell’s tone implies “higher for longer” on rates, that will boost Treasury yields and pressure stocks. Conversely, if he talks about being “patient” with the 2% inflation target, that will be seen as dovish.
Away from Powell, the only notable reports are Consumer Sentiment (E: 71.2) and the One-Year Inflation Expectations (E: 3.3%) and Five-year Inflation Expectations (E: 2.9%). If inflation expectations are solidly under estimates, that’ll be a mild positive for markets.