Is the Yield Curve Already Forecasting a Fed Rate Cut?

What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Is the Yield Curve Already Forecasting a Fed Rate Cut?

Futures are slightly higher following a quiet night of news as investors digest Thursday’s declines and look ahead to the long weekend.

Economically the only notable report was Japanese CPI and it came in slightly lower than expectations at 3.7% y/y vs. (E) 3.8% y/y. but it didn’t move markets.

Today focus will be on economic data and the key reports are, in order of importance: Core PCE Price Index (E: 0.2% m/m, 4.6% y/y), University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (E: 59.1), Durable Goods (E: -0.8%) and New Home Sales (E: 600k).   Markets will want to see further confirmation of dis-inflation in the Core PCE Price Index and the Five Year Inflation Expectations in the University of Michigan report, and if that happens it could spur a mild rally following yesterday’s declines.

Tom Essaye Quoted in Yahoo Finance on December 8, 2020

Semiconductor giant Micron’s (MU) upbeat guidance last week for its most recent quarter was a buy signal on tech stocks, Sevens Report Research founder Tom Essaye says.

“Semiconductors have been on fire and not just from momentum…” Essaye explained. Click here to read to read the full article.