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February MMT: A New Threat to the Rally

What’s in Today’s Report:

  • February MMT: New Threat to the Rally
  • Empire Manufacturing PMI Takeaways

Futures are trading tentatively higher amid easing AI-disruption angst despite soft PANW earnings yesterday (shares down ~7% today) while bonds and precious metals are steady.

Economically, U.K. CPI cooled from 3.4% to 3.0% Y/Y vs. (E) 3.0% in January while French CPI held steady at 0.3% Y/Y, meeting estimates. Both inflation prints add conviction that the global disinflation trend remains well underway.

Today, focus will be on economic data early with the delayed release of the December Durable Goods report (E: -2.3%) and December Housing Starts data (E: 1.31 million) this morning. Additionally, the as-scheduled January Industrial Production (E: 0.4%) report will be released just ahead of the opening bell.

There are no Fed speakers today however, the January FOMC meeting minutes will be released at 2:00 p.m. ET which will be widely watched by investors looking for fresh clues on the future path of Fed policy rates.

Finally, earnings continue with releases from ADI ($2.31), GRMN ($2.39), CVNA ($1.13), KGC ($0.55), DASH ($0.58), and EBAY ($1.35) all due out today.