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Can the Market Rally Without AI and a Dovish Fed?

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Can the Market Rally Without AI and a Dovish Fed?
  • Weekly  Market Preview: Santa Rally On?
  • Weekly Economic Cheat Sheet: More Insight on Growth

Futures are marginally higher mostly on momentum from Friday’s rally and following a quiet weekend of news, as AI linked tech stocks continued to rebound.

Both gold and silver hit new all-time highs on rising geopolitical tensions as U.S. forces boarded another oil tanker bound for Venezuela, further increasing tensions.

Economically, the only notable report overnight was United Kingdom Q3 GDP, which met expectations rising 0.1% q/q and 1.3% y/y.

Market and economic calendars are mostly quiet this week and that includes today as there are no notable economic reports or Fed speakers.  That said, geo-politics remains a potential market mover this week, if we see a further increase in tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela.

 

When Is the Dovish Fed Good for Stocks?

/in /by

What’s in Today’s Report:

  • When Is the Dovish Fed Good for Stocks? It’s the Difference Between “Aggressive” and “Appropriate”

Stock futures are trading lower by 0.50% this morning as trade tensions escalated further late Monday with several U.S. trade officials confirming plans to hike tariffs Friday.

Overnight, it was reported that Chinese Vice-Premier Liu He would still come to the U.S for negotiations this week but for just 2 days rather than the originally planned 4 which was seen as an incremental negative.

Economically, German Manufacturers’ Orders rose 0.6% vs. (E) 1.0% in March which weighed modestly on EU shares.

Looking into today’s session, trade news will still dominate the markets however there are a few other catalyst to watch including March JOLTS data (E 7.215M) and one Fed speaker: Kaplan (7:00 a.m. ET).