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Tom Essaye: Bitcoin’s Drop Shows Its High-Risk Nature

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Tom Essaye: Bitcoin’s Drop Shows Its High-Risk Nature

Bitcoin price today: BTC bounces back to $88,500 after sharp dip below $84,000

Bitcoin’s latest slide caught investors off guard, occurring just days after the cryptocurrency briefly rebounded from the $80,000 level. The move largely reflected profit-taking, thin liquidity, and broader macro uncertainty that weighed on risk assets.

“Bitcoin remains a hyper-volatile, speculative asset. It still moves in sync with risk appetite. When markets tighten, Bitcoin falls harder,” said Tom Essaye of the Sevens Report.

Also, click here to view the full article on Businessupturn.com published on December 2nd, 2025. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

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Tom Essaye Interviewed: Why a Drop Below $80K Could Trigger a Bigger Collapse for Bitcoin

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Crypto: A ‘trap door’ will open up if bitcoin falls below $80K

Crypto: A ‘trap door’ will open up if bitcoin falls below $80K

Sevens Report Research Founder Tom Essaye and Yahoo Finance senior reporters Brooke DiPalma and Ines Ferré weigh in on the state of the crypto space, coming as Bank of America is recommending that its wealth management clients should allocate 4% of their portfolios into crypto.

Also, click here to view the full interview on Yahoo Finance published on December 2nd, 2025. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Why Is Bitcoin Still Falling?

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Why Is Bitcoin Still Falling?
  • ISM Manufacturing PMI Takeaways

U.S. equity futures are higher thanks to the combination of a strong Japanese government bond auction and largely as-expected EU inflation data which are both helping yields stabilize after a sharp rise to start December yesterday.

Economically, the Eurozone’s Narrow Core HICP (Core CPI equivalent) held steady at 2.4% vs. (E) 2.5% in November.

Looking into today’s session, we will get data on domestic Motor Vehicle Sales (E: 15.4 million) which likely won’t have a material impact on markets unless there is a significant drop signaling a potential slowdown in consumer spending.

Additionally, there is one Fed speaker: Bowman (10:00 a.m. ET), and the Treasury will hold a 6-Week Bill auction at 11:30 a.m. ET. Markets are looking for dovish signals via strong demand for short-duration Treasuries and fresh support for a December Fed rate cut.

Finally, there are a few potentially market moving earnings releases today from some AI-sensitive companies including: MRVL ($0.58), CRWD ($0.07), and OKTA ($0.20).

 

Tom Essaye Flags Major Bitcoin Breakdown as Long-Term Holders Exit

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Why crypto’s having a terrible, horrible, no good, very bad month

Bitcoin’s latest slide may be signaling more trouble ahead, with several key technical and behavioral indicators turning sharply negative, according to Tom Essaye, founder and president of Sevens Report Research.

Essaye said one of the earliest warning signs emerged in October, when Bitcoin’s powerful rally wasn’t confirmed by momentum indicators. “As Bitcoin pushed higher, the relative strength index failed to rise with it, and that divergence continued to point to further downside,” he noted.

The more decisive signal came this week when Bitcoin broke below critical support at $106,000, a level closely watched by both institutional and retail investors. The breakdown unleashed a wave of selling that Essaye described as unusually intense.

“This wasn’t driven by short-term traders — this was long-term investors exiting the market,” he said. The surge in selling volume reflects that shift: Bitcoin’s latest 4.4% decline occurred on some of the highest turnover of the second half of 2025, a trend Essaye warns has persisted across multiple down days.

The combination of momentum deterioration, major support failure, and heavy long-term holder distribution suggests that pressure may continue to build if prices fall further.

Also, click here to view the full article published in USAToday.com on November 21st, 2025. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Sevens Report Warns Bitcoin Selling Could Trigger a “Doom Loop”

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There could be more pain ahead for Bitcoin.

Bitcoin Just Had Its Worst Week in Months. Why Cryptos and Stocks Went in Different Directions Today.

“From a demand perspective it appears there is an early, yet growing, sense of concern that could evolve into full-on panic if the selling pressure continues to intensify further than it already has, as lower prices would prompt more selling in a doom loop of sorts,” analysts at financial research firm Sevens Report wrote on Friday.

Also, click here to view the full article published in Barron’s on November 21st, 2025. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Monthly Bitcoin Update & Outlook

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Monthly Bitcoin Update & Outlook

Futures are moderately lower as markets extend Thursday’s selloff mostly on momentum and following some underwhelming economic data.

Chinese economic data was mixed as retail sales (2.9% vs. (E) 2.7%) beat estimates while Industrial Production (4.9% vs. (E) 5.5%) and Fixed Asset Investment (-1.7% vs. (E) 0.9%) missed expectations.

Today there are no notable economic reports but there are three Fed speakers: Schmid (10:05 a.m. ET), Logan (2:30 p.m. ET) and Bostic (9:20 a.m. ET, 3:20 p.m. ET).  If they’re tone is hawkish towards a December rate cut (as the commentary has been this week from multiple Fed officials) that will further pressure stocks.

 

Bearish Bitcoin Forecasts Flag $70K as Key Support Level

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Analysts warn of a potential drop to $55K–$57K in a severe macro downturn.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2025 2026 2027 – 2030

The most cautious credible forecasts see Bitcoin falling to the $70K–$75K range if key support fails, with a worst-case scenario targeting $55K–$57K during a major macro sell-off. Analysts including Tyler Richey of Sevens Report and 10X Research identify these zones as critical downside markers. Veteran trader Peter Brandt assigns about a 25% chance to such a pullback but notes that a sharp correction could ultimately lay the groundwork for a stronger bullish recovery.

Also, click here to view the full article on Troymedia.com published on November 10th, 2025. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

October Bitcoin & Cryptocurrency Update

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Monthly Bitcoin & Crypto Update (October)

U.S. equity futures are flat while most overseas stock markets traded lower overnight as global investors book profits amid historically high valuations and an uncertain macroeconomic outlook given the ongoing government shutdown.

Economically, Japanese PPI held steady at 2.7% vs. (E) 2.5% in September, a slightly “warm” print that supported a modest rally in the yen overnight.

Looking into today’s session, there is one noteworthy private sector economic report to watch today: Consumer Sentiment (E: 54.0, 1-Yr Inflation Expectations: 4.5%) and the results could move markets as the government shutdown has resulted in a prolonged void in official growth/inflation data this week (the better the headline and cooler the inflation outlook, the better for stocks).

Additionally, there are two notable Fed speakers today: Goolsbee (9:45 a.m. ET) and Musalem (1:00 p.m. ET), and the more dovish the commentary, the better for risk assets.

September Bitcoin Update and Outlook

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What’s in Today’s Report:

  • September Bitcoin Update and Outlook
  • What Yesterday’s CPI Means for Markets

Futures are slightly lower on mixed data and earnings overnight.

ADBE was the latest tech company to post earnings and the results were solid (beat on EPS and revenue and a guidance increase) but concerns about AI sapping demand for software kept gains modest (ADBE is up 3% pre-market).

Economically, data was mixed.  UK Industrial Production badly missed estimates (-1.3% vs. (E) 0.5%) while German CPI and UK Monthly GDP both met expectations.

Today the only notable economic report is University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (E: 58.0) and focus will be on the inflation expectations.  As long as they don’t move sharply higher, it’ll cap a generally positive week for markets on the inflation front (which has been the main reason stocks are higher this week).

 

Sevens Report’s Tyler Richey: AI Stock Stumble Signals Bearish Exhaustion

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Mega-cap tech weakness poses broader risks to equity markets

AI stock boom starts to stumble as investors increase bets against sector

A recent stumble in AI-related stocks “highlights some degree of bearish exhaustion in the underlying AI narrative,” said Tyler Richey, co-editor at Sevens Report Research.

“There are signs the market is turning on AI stocks,” Richey warned, adding that a meaningful and lasting rethinking by investors could pose significant risks for the broader equity market. The concern stems from the heavy concentration of mega-cap tech stocks such as NVIDIA, Microsoft, and Meta within the S&P 500 and other major indexes.

“This could be extremely detrimental to even the most vanilla index strategies,” Richey said. With a record amount of U.S. personal wealth tied to equities, a major AI-driven drawdown could create a negative wealth effect, fueling a bear market in stocks and risk assets while pushing investors toward safe havens amid a weakening economy.

Also, click here to view the full article published in S&P Global on September 3rd, 2025. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.