Re-Examining the Four Pillars of the Rally

What’s in Today’s Report:

• A Bad Sign from the Most Important ETF in the Market
• Re-Examining the Current Market Setup – 4 Pillars of the Rally

Futures are mildly higher as traders digest yesterday’s “AI-disruption” selloff ahead of Trump’s State of the Union address this evening.

There were no noteworthy economic reports overnight.

Today, trader focus will be on economic data early with the Case-Shiller Home Price Index (E: 1.3%), the FHFA House Price Index (E: 0.3%), and Consumer Confidence (E: 88.0) reports all due to be released. As has been the case lately, the market will want to see “Goldilocks” data signaling resilient growth trends and cooling inflation pressures in order to mount a meaningful relief rally.

Additionally, there is a slew of Fed speak today as Goolsbee (8:00 a.m. ET), Bostic (9:00 a.m. ET), Collins (9:00 a.m. ET), Waller (9:15 a.m. ET), Cook (9:30 a.m. ET), and Barkin (3:00 p.m. ET) are all on the calendar scheduled to deliver comments.

Finally, there are a handful of noteworthy Q4 earnings due out today, including HD ($2.52), NRG ($1.17), MELI ($11.77), AXON ($-0.18), HPQ ($0.77), and GDDY ($1.58). In addition to solid economic data and less-hawkish Fed speak, strong earnings would offer another tailwind for markets in the wake of yesterday’s latest wave of selling pressure.