Trade War 2.0 Primer (Needed Context)

What’s in Today’s Report: U.S. Trade Primer (Needed Context for Trade War 2.0)

What Is the Investor Intelligence Survey Telling Us About the Stock Market?

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Are Junk Bonds Forecasting a “Top” in the Stock Market Again?

Even though the fundamental backdrop is favorable for stocks, the inevitability of a continued market rise is palpable. The “Pain Trade” is now clearly lower for both stocks and bonds. JNK, the junk bond ETF, accurately forecasted the July/early August decline in the stock market. Now, it’s rolling over again—providing a potential warning sign that […]

JNK Is Rolling Over – That Is a Warning Sign

JNK Is Rolling Over—That is A Warning Sign JNK, the junk bond ETF, accurately forecast the July/early August decline in the stock market. Now, it’s rolling over again—providing a potential warning sign that we may be in for another dip. In the July 22 issue of the Report, we included a chart that showed how […]

2 Reasons We May Be In for Another Sell-Off

2 Reasons We May Be In For Another Sell-Off Even though the fundamental backdrop is favorable for stocks, the inevitability of a continued market rise is palpable. The “Pain Trade” is now clearly lower for both stocks and bonds. There were three pieces of anecdotal evidence yesterday to support my opinion (although, obviously, anecdotal evidence […]

Is This As Good As It Gets for the S&P 500?

Is This As Good As It Gets for the S&P 500? The outlook for U.S. stocks remains positive, as the “Four Pillars” of the rally remain intact:  Global central bank accommodation (this was mildly solidified last week by the ECB and the soft jobs report), a clear macro-economic horizon (also further solidified by the Ukraine/Russia […]

Bond Bulls Not Done Yet

Bonds are rallying as bulls make a last stand