Why the Gaetz Withdrawal Sparked Yesterday’s Rally

What’s in Today’s Report: Why the Gaetz Withdrawal Sparked Yesterday’s Rally

FOMC Minutes Analysis

FOMC Minutes The FOMC minutes didn’t contain many surprises, but on balance they did confirm that the FOMC is more committed to normalizing policy than the market thought before the October meeting. Yesterday I focused on the difference between market-based and sentiment-based inflation expectations, and so too did the Fed in its minutes. The takeaway […]

Tom Essaye Discusses the outlook for utilities on CNBC’s Closing Bell 11.14.14

Sevens Report Editor Tom Essaye discusses utilities on CNBC’s Closing Bell on Friday, November 14th 2014.

Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations Ticks Higher

Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations YOY Business Inflation Expectations increased to 2.0% from 1.9% in October Takeaway Around 10 AM yesterday, the Dollar Index rallied and bonds sold off (a typically “hawkish” reaction). The reason was a slight uptick in the little-followed Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations Survey. What made the report “hawkish” wasn’t the […]

Canadian Dollar Continues to Fall

The biggest loser yesterday vs. the dollar was the Loonie, falling .45% after October housing starts missed expectations at 183k vs. (E) 200k.  Like Australia and the UK, the Canadian housing market is viewed as a potential risk to the economy, as prices remain high and risk of a downward move remains.  That number yesterday […]

Weekly Economic Update

Last Week Global economic data were again mildly disappointing last week, but they didn’t turn negative. Against the backdrop of global central banks becoming “more” accommodative, the data were good enough not to change the current outlook that the global recovery is (barely) continuing—but that outlook is enough to hold stocks up at current levels. […]

Geopolitical Update: Russia and Ukraine

After a few months of calm, the situation in Ukraine is heating up. Russian tanks were reportedly crossing the border Friday and intense fighting between Russian separatists in Ukraine and government forces was reported over the weekend. As has been the case, the truly negative event here is a full-on, blatant Russian invasion of Ukraine, […]