History suggests the answer is probably no

History suggests the answer is probably no. More often, the reversal of a yield-curve inversion has signaled that the wheels are about to come off the economy and the stock market with it, according to Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader and founder of Sevens Report Research.

Tom Essaye Quoted by Big News Network on January 28, 2022

Yesterday’s FOMC decision and Powell’s presser was both positive and negative for…Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report, said in a note.

Sevens Report Co-Editor Tyler Richey Quoted by MarketWatch on January 27, 2022

Physical demand is so high with this looming storm in the Northeast that the…explained Tyler Richey, co-editor at Sevens Report Research.

Sevens Report Co-Editor Tyler Richey Quoted by MarketWatch on January 27, 2022

The 219 billion-cubic-foot weekly fall in U.S. supplies of the fuel reported by the…said Tyler Richey, co-editor at Sevens Report Research.

Tom Essaye Quoted by CNBC on January 26, 2022

Yesterday’s FOMC decision and Powell’s presser was both positive and negative for…Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report, said in a note.

Gold Coins

Why Aren’t TIPS Rising?

What’s in Today’s Report: Why aren’t TIPS rising? What could send 10’s-2’s closer to inversion? and more…

What the Fed Decision Means for Markets

What’s in Today’s Report: What the Fed decision means for markets (50 bps in March and/or five hikes), EIA analysis and oil market update.