History suggests the answer is probably no

History suggests the answer is probably no. More often, the reversal of a yield-curve inversion has signaled that the wheels are about to come off the economy and the stock market with it, according to Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader and founder of Sevens Report Research.

Market Multiple Chart

Are Stock and Bond Markets Starting to Forecast an Economic Slowdown?

What’s in Today’s Report: Are the stock and bond markets starting to forecast an economic slowdown? Yesterday’s market recap, and more…

General Technical Take for Equities

What’s in Today’s Report: What the FOMC Minutes mean for markets, General technical take for equities, EIA analysis and Oil market update.

Tom Essaye Quoted in Financial Post on April 5, 2022

Stocks are vulnerable to disappointment once again given…Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader who founded The Sevens Report newsletter.

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Market Multiple Table: April Update

What’s in Today’s Report: Market Multiple Table: April update, Lower futures, More inflation fears and geopolitical issues, and more…

Tom Essaye Quoted in CNBC on March 31, 2022

Above 4,600 in the S&P 500, markets have now traded through most…Tom Essaye of The Sevens Report said in a note to clients Wednesday.

Tom Essaye Quoted in Big News Network on March 31, 2022

Above 4,600 in the S&P 500, markets have now traded through most fundamental bounds of valuation, and…Tom Essaye of the Sevens Report.