“This rally now has a life of its own. I do want to caution that any pullback that occurs (and there will be one) likely will be a bit more painful than before and on the order of 5% to 10%, given how stretched the market has become…” writes Tom Essaye of the Sevens Report newsletter. Click here to read the full article.
“People are getting too optimistic in the short-term. We keep pricing in all this really good stuff that’s going to happen, but it has not shown up yet…” said Tom Essaye, founder of The Sevens Report. Click here to read the full article.
“Phase one is behind us and it met market expectations. Now the very real question of whether phase one results in an uptick in economic growth lies in front of us…” Tom Essaye, the founder of The Sevens Report, said in a note. Click here to read the full report.
“Nothing in phase one will specifically add much to global [economic] growth…” wrote Tom Essaye, president of the Sevens Report in a Thursday note to clients. Click here to read the full article.
What’s in Today’s Report:
U.S. stock futures and European shares are tracking Asian markets lower amid rising concerns about the outbreak of a newly discovered virus in China.
Chinese health officials have confirmed that the recently named “coronavirus” can be spread by human-to-human contact.
And with the Lunar New Year holiday beginning this week, fears of a SARS-like health epidemic are on the rise which saw the Shanghai Composite fall 1.41% overnight.
Looking into today’s session, there are no notable economic reports due to be released and no Fed officials are scheduled to speak.
That will leave investors largely focused on Q4 earnings season with HAL ($0.29) reporting before the bell and NFLX ($0.50), AMTD ($0.76), UAL ($2.64), and COF ($2.38) all releasing results after the close.
“Unless we begin to see significantly colder temperatures show up in the extended forecasts into the back half of winter, the natural gas market is poised to continue lower…” said Tyler Richey, co-editor of Sevens Report Research. Click here to read the full article.
Oil prices had spent the front half of the week moving lower “largely thanks to lingering oversupply concerns and a continued unwind of the geopolitical fear bid that was triggered by the U.S.-Iran…” said Tyler Richey, co-editor at Sevens Report Research. Click here to read the full article.
“Phase one is behind us and it met market expectations,” said Tom Essaye, founder of The Sevens Report, in a note. “Now the very real question of whether phase one results in an uptick in economic growth lies in front of us, and the truth is it’s unclear. Nothing in phase one…” Click here to read the full article.
What’s in Today’s Report:
Futures are modestly higher again after Chinese economic data beat expectations.
Chinese Fixed Asset Investment (5.4% vs. (E ) 5.2%, Industrial Production (6.9% vs. (E ) 5.9%, and Retail Sales (8.0% vs. (E ) 7.8%) all beat estimates, raising hopes for a global economic rebound.
Today focus will again be on economic data and earnings, and like yesterday, the stronger the data, the better. Industrial Production (E: -0.3%) and Consumer Sentiment (E: 99.3) are the two key reports today, while we also get Housing Starts (E: 1.373M).
On the earnings front, industrial results have been mixed this week so the market will want to see solid results from SLB ($0.37), FAST ($0.31) and JBHT ($1.55).
Finally, there are two Fed Speakers today: Harker (9:00 a.m. ET) and Quarles (12:45 p.m. ET), but neither should move markets.
“The modern economy is powered by semiconductors,” said Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader who founded “The Sevens Report” newsletter. “Semiconductors are extremely important and that’s one of the things I put, from a short-term standpoint…” Click here to read the full article.
