Bigger Picture on Economic Data

What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Bigger Picture on Economic Data

Futures are solidly higher this morning, tracking gains in international markets led by Chinese shares thanks to strong economic data and more progress on trade.

Several news outlets reported overnight that up to 90% of a trade deal is done as China’s vice premier Liu He travels to D.C. to continue mid-high level trade talks today.

Economically, the Caixin Chinese Service PMI beat expectations jumping to 54.4 in March, a 14 month high, while the EU Service PMI rose to 53.3 vs. (E) 52.7. Both releases helped ease concerns about recently underwhelming economic data.

Looking into today’s session, there are a few catalysts to watch for. First, the ADP Employment Report (E: 165K) will be releases ahead of the open, kicking off “jobs week” in the U.S. and then the ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (E: 58.0) will hit shortly after the bell. Investors will look for both of these numbers to track the encouraging releases overseas last night.

Additionally, there is one Fed speaker before the open: Bostic (8:30 a.m. ET) and Kashkari will speak after the close (5:00 p.m. ET). Lastly, with U.S.-China trade optimism driving a good portion of the pre-market gains, any news out of Washington will have the potential to materially move markets today.