After impacting the markets with his comment about a forthcoming “phenomenal” tax plan, the markets have been surprisingly unmoved by any of the headlines coming in from Washington D.C. This week, we’ve seen stocks focusing on the good economic data (retail sales, Empire Manufacturing) and ignoring the political drama (Trump’s Labor Secretary nominee, Andrew Puzder, withdrew yesterday). […]
Make sense of the rumors FAST. Below is an excerpt from today’s Sevens Report: www.7sReport.com. Easily the biggest story that circulated trading desks Thursday morning was an article that a $4 billion options fund was blowing up. In doing so, the implication was that is what has caused the relentless really we’ve seen in stocks […]
An excerpt from the Sevens Report. Sign up for a two-week free trial of the full report at www.7sReport.com. Earlier this week I began profiling non-political risks to explore when making decisions for your clients and talking with prospects. Here’s number three: Non-Political Risk #3: Surprise Trade or Military Dispute Surprisingly, and potentially dangerously, the […]
Last week started off a little down on Monday, then flat on Tuesday and Wednesday. Thursday looked like it was going to be another boring day until President Trump made comments during an airline CEO meeting that he would present a “phenomenal” tax plan in a few weeks. Those comments were followed by a more […]
An excerpt from the Sevens Report. Sign up for a two-week free trial of the full report at www.7sReport.com. Yesterday I began profiling a couple of non-political risks to explore when making decisions for your clients and talking with prospects. Here’s the second: Non-Political Risk 2: A More Hawkish-Than-Anticipated Federal Reserve Profiling this risk seemed only natural, […]
An excerpt from today’s Sevens Report. Non-Political Risk #1: Economic Growth Slows. Stronger economic data remains an unsung hero of this post-election rally, and while Trump gets the headlines, it’s really the economic data that’s enabling this rally as better economic growth is allowing the market to continue to give Trump and the Republicans the […]
Last Week: There was very little incremental economic data last week, and what reports did come met expectations and importantly did nothing to change the perception that economic activity is legitimately accelerating—a perception that continues to support stocks broadly. From a domestic data viewpoint, there isn’t a lot to talk about. Jobless claims continued to […]
Last Week There was a lot of economic data last week despite the holiday, and the general takeaway is that the data reinforced the expectation that the Fed was on track to hike rates in December. Durable Goods was the positive surprise last week as not only did the headline beat, but the key “Non […]
Last Week Economic data last week largely met expectations and the key takeaway was that the data further reinforced the expectation by the market that a rate hike is coming in December. Starting with the manufacturing sector, there were three notable releases: Two from November (Empire Manufacturing Survey and Philly Fed Survey) and one from […]
Last Week The major takeaway from the data last week was that a rate hike from December remains expected, but not certain. Internationally, European data was again lackluster, but with more QE on the way the data is being generally ignored. The October economic reports from China reinforced that growth there is stable, and China […]