Bear and Bull

Are Investors Expecting Too Much from This Market?

What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Are Investors Expecting Too Much from This Market?

Futures are modestly lower following a generally quiet night as Biden’s stimulus plan met market expectations.

President Elect Biden’s $1.9 trillion stimulus plan is being met by a “sell the news” reaction as markets already priced in most of what was included, while easy passage of the bill is not guaranteed (this could still take months to become law).

Economically, UK Industrial Production missed estimates, while EU Exports were in line with expectations but neither number is moving markets.

Today focus will be on economic data, as we get the first data point from January via the  Empire State Manufacturing Index (E: 6.0) and markets will want to see stability in the data to imply that the recovery isn’t losing too much momentum. Other notable reports include Retail Sales (E: -0.1%), Industrial Production (E: 0.5%) and PPI (E: 0.4%).  There’s also one Fed speaker, Kashkari at 11:30 a.m. ET, but he shouldn’t move markets.

Finally, earnings season begins today with results from JPM (E: $2.72), WFC (E: $0.59) and C (E: $1.35).