Key Summer Market Events (Inflation Today, Fed Tomorrow)
What’s in Today’s Report:
- Key Summer Market Events Part 1: Inflation
- EIA Analysis and Oil Market Update
Futures are slightly lower following a generally quiet night of news, although on the margin markets are seeing global central banks get less dovish.
On Wednesday, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand had hawkish commentary, while overnight the Bank of Korea hinted at a rate hike before year-end. Neither the Reserve Bank of New Zealand nor the Bank of Korea will move markets, but the bottom line is we are seeing a global rising tide of “less dovish” central bank policy, and that’s likely to cause volatility as we move forward throughout the year.
There was no market moving economic data overnight.
Today we get several notable economic reports including (in order of importance): Jobless Claims (E: 450K), Durable Goods (E: 0.7%), Revised Q2 GDP (6.5%), and Pending Home Sales (E: 2.0%). Bottom line, markets will want to see solid, but not “Too Hot” economic data, and if we get that result the data should help stocks rally today.