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Trump/Xi Meeting Preview

What’s in Today’s Report:

  • G-20 Preview:  The Good, the Expected & the Ugly

Futures are modestly lower on positioning ahead of the G-20 and due to disappointing foreign economic data.

Regarding the G-20, there was no new news overnight, and the expectation remains for a trade war “truce.”

Economic data was disappointing.  Chinese Nov. Manufacturing PMI dropped to 50.0 vs. (E) 50.2, the lowest since mid-2016.  EU inflation also underwhelmed as the core flash HICP rose 1.0% y/y vs. (E) 1.1% y/y.  So, despite some decent data this week, “ROW” (rest of world) economic activity remains underwhelming.

There are no economic reports today and just one Fed speaker, Williams (1:00 p.m. ET), but he won’t move markets.  So, markets should be in a general holding pattern ahead of the G-20 and I’d expect a quiet day.  That said, there has been a constant flow of headlines on the potential outcome of the Trump/Xi meeting, so we’ll continue to watch the headlines for any headline surprises that could cause volatility.