The Market Impact of Global Political Developments
What’s in Today’s Report:
- What the Political News from the U.K. and China Mean for Markets
- October Flash Composite PMI Takeaways
Futures are modestly lower as the Chinese yuan fell to a 14-year low overnight while traders look ahead to big tech earnings.
Economically, the German Ifo Survey was better than feared with Business Expectations up to 75.6 vs. (E) 74.8.
Looking into today’s session, there are several economic reports due to be released: Case-Shiller Home Price Index (E: -0.8%), FHFA House Price Index (E: -0.7%), and Consumer Confidence (E: 106.0). Since Friday’s renewed hopes for peak-hawkishness, the bad news is good news for markets so further softening in the data could keep downward pressure on yields and support a continued rebound in equities today.
There is also a 2-Yr Treasury Note auction at 1:00 p.m. ET that could shed some light on bond traders’ outlook for the terminal rate as a weak outcome could send yields higher and ultimately see the stock market give back some of the Friday/Monday gains.
Finally, earnings season is becoming the market’s primary focus and there are a lot of big names reporting today including: UPS ($2.84), KO ($0.64), GM ($1.89), MMM ($2.61), JBLU ($0.24), and SYF ($1.42) before the bell, while GOOGL ($1.25), MSFT ($2.30), and V ($1.86) are due to report after the close.
