Weekly Economic Cheat Sheet 11/9/15
/in Investing/by Tom EssayeLast Week Last week’s economic data was strong, and that was punctuated by Friday’s blowout jobs report—and the net result of the data was that a rate hike is now expected in December. Starting with the jobs report, it was very clearly in our “Too Hot” scenario. Headline job adds were very strong at 271k […]
Weekly Economic Cheat Sheet 11/2/15
/in Investing/by Tom EssayeLast Week Last week the key event was the FOMC being more hawkish than expected and putting a December rate hike back on the table. That hawkish statement coincided with a Q3 GDP that was stronger than expected, but other than that the September data was almost universally disappointing, so despite the optimism from the […]
Weekly Economic Cheat Sheet 10/19/15
/in Investing/by Tom EssayeLast Week Data last week added to concerns that the US economy is losing positive momentum, as virtually every economic report, with the exception of jobless claims and consumer sentiment, missed estimates. While in a absolute sense US economic growth remains decent, the rate of change is what’s got people nervous. No better number was […]
Weekly Economic Cheat Sheet 10/12/15
/in Investing/by Tom EssayeLast Week Economic data last week generally confirmed what we already knew: There appears to be some loss of positive momentum in the US economy; global growth remains sluggish, and the Fed is dovish. Nothing last week materially changed anyone’s outlook for US or global economic growth. The FOMC minutes were the highlight of last […]
Dow Theory About to Get Bearish
/in Investing/by Tyler RicheyDow Theory is widely looked at as the first “technical strategy” for reading market trends and whether stocks are in a bull or bear market cycle. The strategy uses both the Dow Industrials Index and the Dow Transports Index in harmony do decipher the current market trends simply based off “highs” and “lows.” Long story […]
Best Way to Short Bonds
/in Investing/by Tyler RicheyBest Way to Short Bonds Adding to Shorter Term Positions to Our Long Term Treasury Bond Short: Due to these shifting fundamentals, we are once again dipping our toe in the “short bond” pool and are buying a basket of TBT, SJB and KRE (Long Bank ETF). TBF is the unleveraged […]
Is the Yen Carry Trade Become A Headwind on Markets?
/in Investing, Reports/by Tom EssayeWhat’s in Today’s Report: Is the Yen Carry Trade Become A Headwind on Markets?