History suggests the answer is probably no

History suggests the answer is probably no. More often, the reversal of a yield-curve inversion has signaled that the wheels are about to come off the economy and the stock market with it, according to Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader and founder of Sevens Report Research.

Tom Essaye Quoted in Forbes on May 18, 2018

In a morning note, market analyst Tom Essaye of the Sevens Report pointed out that retail customers are buying less high-margin merchandise…

Value vs. Growth Technical Outlook

What’s in today’s report: Value vs. Growth technical outlook, Officials in China announced a larger than expected rate cut, Economic data & more.

Tom Essaye Quoted in Business Insider on May 18, 2022

Wall Street’s biggest firms pay to read Tom Essaye’s daily stock-market outlook. He shares 3 key shifts that have to unfold for stocks to bottom.

What Yesterday’s Sell Off Means for Markets

What’s in today’s report: What yesterday’s sell off means for markets, TGT earnings, EIA analysis & oil update and more.

What Retail Earnings Say About Consumer Spending

What’s in today’s report: What retail earnings say about consumer spending, shorter duration yield curves may be peaking, Economic takeaways & more.

A Critical Time for the Yield Curve

What’s in today’s report: A critical time for the Yield Curve, Empire state manufacturing PMI takeaways, tock futures sharply higher, & more.