History suggests the answer is probably no

History suggests the answer is probably no. More often, the reversal of a yield-curve inversion has signaled that the wheels are about to come off the economy and the stock market with it, according to Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader and founder of Sevens Report Research.

Magnifying Glass

Jobs Report Preview

What’s in Today’s Report: Jobs Report preview, Negative COVID news from China, Look into Jobless Claims today, and more…

Have Bond Yields Peaked?

What’s in Today’s Report: Are stocks starting to signal bond yields have peaked? Growth is beginning to outperform value, Oil tumbles and more.

Are Stocks Pricing in an Economic Contraction?

What’s in Today’s Report: Bottom line – Are stocks pricing in an economic contraction? Weekly economic cheat sheet – Is stagflation imminent?

A Historical Reason to be Optimistic for the Second Half

What’s in Today’s Report: A historical reason to be optimistic for the second half, Mixed economic data and inflation data, and more…

Tom Essaye Quoted in Barron’s on June 29th, 2022

Not only did the headline badly miss expectations, falling to a 16-month low, but consumer inflation…wrote The Sevens Report’s Tom Essaye.

State of Inflation: Hints of a Peak?

What’s in Today’s Report: State of inflation: Hints of a peak? Sharply lower futures, More mixed economic data, and more…